[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ83 PGUM 072324
HLSPQ3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON NANGKA (11W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
900 AM CHST WED JUL 8 2015

...TYPHOON NANGKA STILL MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS...INCLUDING AGRIHAN...
PAGAN...AND ALAMAGAN ISLANDS. PEOPLE IN SAIPAN AND TINIAN SHOULD
PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THIS STORM IN CASE THE TYPHOON MAKES AN
UNEXPECTED TRACK DEVIATION FURTHER TO THE SOUTH.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 700 AM CHST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NANGKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.6 EAST.

ABOUT  410 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN
ABOUT  430 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN
ABOUT  460 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN
ABOUT  390 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT  475 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

TYPHOON NANGKA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 140 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK TAKES TYPHOON NANGKA NEAR AGRIHAN...
PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS THURSDAY MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. NANGKA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SPEED.
NANGKA REMAINS A STRONG CATEGORY 4 TYPHOON AND IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY SLOWLY TODAY...POSSIBLY BECOMING A SUPER TYPHOON TONIGHT.
THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE TO BE
NORTH OF THE SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS. HOWEVER ANY DEVIATION OF THE
TRACK FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...OR ANY UNEXPECTED EXPANSION OF THE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON THE TYPHOON'S SOUTHERN PERIPHERY COULD
PLACE THESE WINDS INTO THE SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS.

...AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE PREPARED TO SEEK STURDY SHELTER IF A TYPHOON WARNING IS ISSUED.
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK BRINGS DAMAGING WINDS TO THE AREA DURING
THE LATE MORNING ON THURSDAY...STEADILY INCREASING TO TYPHOON FORCE
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS AND WINDS WILL INCREASE WELL IN ADVANCE OF
NANGKA AND INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS BY TONIGHT.
FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

...WIND INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY BY THURSDAY MORNING WITH
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WINDS
COULD LAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SEAS ARE CURRENTLY 7 TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE AREA AND HAZARDOUS FOR
SMALL CRAFT. THE SEAS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AND COULD RANGE FROM AT LEAST 15 FEET TO MORE THAN 30 FEET BY
THURSDAY.

COASTAL INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET OR MORE CAN BE EXPECTED AS TYPHOON
NANGKA APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE FAR NORTHERN MARIANAS.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...WITH AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

&&

...PEOPLE OF SAIPAN AND TINIAN...
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK PLACES THE PATH OF THE TYPHOON WELL TO
THE NORTH OF SAIPAN AND TINIAN. IN ADDITION...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
AS MEASURED FROM SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THAT THESE DAMAGING
WINDS DO NOT EXTEND ANY FURTHER THAN 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF
THIS RELATIVELY COMPACT STORM. HOWEVER...PLEASE KEEP ALERT TO ANY
CHANGES TO THIS SITUATION.

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 300 PM CHST THIS AFTERNOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

M AYDLETT
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