[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 23 18:51:16 CDT 2015


WTNT34 KNHC 232351
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042015
800 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...CENTER OF DANNY EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS EARLY MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 59.3W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM E OF DOMINICA
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of Antigua has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Anguilla.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danny was
located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 59.3 West.  Danny is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and a westward to
west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 48 hours.  On
the forecast track, the center will move near or over the southern
Leeward Islands late tonight or early Monday, and into the
northeastern Caribbean Sea on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Danny
is expected to become a tropical depression tonight or Monday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the
warning area overnight and early Monday.  Tropical storm conditions
are possible elsewhere over the Leeward Islands from Guadeloupe
northward overnight.

RAINFALL: Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over
the Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and
Puerto Rico through Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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