[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Sep 28 17:02:01 CDT 2014


WTPQ82 PGUM 282201
HLSPQ2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
759 AM CHST MON SEP 29 2014

...STRENGTHENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W FORMS 540 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN AND WILL PASS OVER THE NORTHERN MARIANA
ISLANDS TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
FIRST COMPLETE STATEMENT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF THE MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING
WATERS OUT TO 40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
TINIAN...SAIPAN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF MARIANAS WATERS AROUND SAIPAN AND TINIAN OUT TO 40
NM.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W
WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 153.1 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN AND TINIAN
ABOUT 550 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA
ABOUT 570 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM
ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN AND
ABOUT 350 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WILL BE GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AS IT
APPROACHES THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS WITH THE CENTER PASSING
NEAR...MOST LIKELY JUST NORTH OF...SAIPAN SOMETIME TUESDAY NIGHT
OR WEDNESDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS 18W INTENSIFYING INTO A
TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY AND INTO A TYPHOON JUST WEST OF THE
NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE
THAT ONLY SMALL CHANGES IN THE TRACK WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANTLY
VARYING IMPACTS AND A POSSIBLE EXPANSION OF WATCHES SOUTHWARD.

IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES
FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS GIVEN TRACK UNCERTAINTY. HOWEVER...HEAVY
RAIN...THUNDERSTORMS... DANGEROUS SURF...AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TIYAN AROUND 11 AM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-290600-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
759 AM CHST MON SEP 29 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. EVACUATE IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS. BOAT OWNERS AND
CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR
SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS
TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE...THOUGH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
HIGH AT THIS TIME.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS TOO EARLY FOR SPECIFICS...THOUGH LARGE WAVES COULD ARRIVE
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM AS EARLY AS TUESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK OF 18W...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
ARE LIKELY AS EARLY AS TUESDAY...WITH THE AREA REMAINING UNDER A
MOIST AND UNSTABLE FLOW FOR SEVERAL DAYS AFTER 18W PASSES BY.

$$
WROE








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