[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Oct 17 07:46:16 CDT 2014


WTHW80 PHFO 171245
HLSHFO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ANA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
245 AM HST FRI OCT 17 2014

...ANA STRENGTHENS WHILE DRAWING CLOSER TO HAWAII...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION SECTION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PORTIONS OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR BIG ISLAND LEEWARD
WATERS...BIG ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE BIG ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR MAUI COUNTY LEEWARD WATERS...
ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL AND BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND FROM NOON
TODAY TO UNTIL 6 PM HST SUNDAY.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4N...LONGITUDE 153.7W...OR ABOUT 315 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO AND ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU.
TROPICAL STORM ANA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM ANA CONTINUES ON ITS WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THIS
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. EXPECT ANA TO MAKE A SLIGHT TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND SATURDAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF ANA IS EXPECTED TO PASS ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE BIG
ISLAND TONIGHT. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED WITH ANA BECOMING
A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

IT IS IMPORTANT FOR EVERYONE TO UNDERSTAND THAT THE EXACT TRACK THAT
ANA TAKES WILL BE CRITICAL TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER AND WATER IMPACTS
THAT THE ISLANDS WILL HAVE TO ENDURE. UNFORTUNATELY IT IS STILL
TOO SOON TO TRY TO NAIL DOWN DETAILS. IF THE CENTER OF ANA TRACKS
MORE TOWARD THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE ERROR CONE...THE RESULT WOULD BE
DRASTICALLY WORSE WEATHER THAN A TRACK ON THE LEFT SIDE.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL
SECURED.

PEOPLE UNDER A WATCH SHOULD CONTINUE MAKING PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

SMALL CRAFT IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK
SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM HST...OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

HIZ023>028-PHZ122-172045-
/O.CON.PHFO.TR.A.3002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-KOHALA-
BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS-BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS-
245 AM HST FRI OCT 17 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...GARBAGE CANS...AND OTHER
ITEMS SHOULD BE SECURED OR STORED INDOORS. HAVE SUPPLIES ON HAND
AND BE READY FOR POWER OUTAGES. EVACUATE IF ORDERED BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 27 PERCENT AT SOUTH POINT...21
PERCENT AT KAILUA KONA...AND 9 PERCENT AT HILO. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 39 MPH...34 KNOTS...ONLY A SMALL
CHANGE IN THE TRACK OF ANA COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS. SEAS OF
15 TO 20 FEET ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY DURING THE CLOSEST APPROACH OF
ANA TO THE BIG ISLAND.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND FROM NOON
TODAY TO UNTIL 6 PM SUNDAY. REFER TO THE WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS.

$$

PHZ118-121-172045-
/O.CON.PHFO.TR.A.3002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAUI COUNTY LEEWARD WATERS-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-
245 AM HST FRI OCT 17 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
43 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 34 KNOTS...ONLY A SMALL CHANGE IN
THE TRACK OF ANA COULD RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS ON SATURDAY. SEAS UP
TO 15 FEET ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE CLOSEST APPROACH OF ANA ON
SATURDAY.


$$

PHZ123-124-172045-
/O.CON.PHFO.TR.W.3002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS-
245 AM HST FRI OCT 17 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO SECURE
THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 61
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.


...WINDS AND SEAS...
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
OVER 34 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVERSPREADING THE AREA FRIDAY
EVENING. IN SOME AREAS FRIDAY NIGHT...WINDS WILL BE AS HIGH AS 30 TO
40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS...AND SEAS UP TO 25 FEET.


$$
LAU





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