[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Oct 14 02:08:46 CDT 2014


WTCA82 TJSJ 140708
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GONZALO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
308 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2014

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS GONZALO STRONGER...

.NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WATCH DISCONTINUED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...EASTERN
INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT
ISLANDS AND ST CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.1N...LONGITUDE 64.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 140 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 80 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SAINT THOMAS VI. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO SPREAD AREAS OF GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF
BUT HEAVY RAINFALL OVER ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN TO NORTHERN PUERTO
RICO. RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE GONZALO WILL BE THE
MAIN SOURCE OF RAIN FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE RAIN FROM
THESE BANDS MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS IN THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE ATLANTIC
WATERS AND THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. OVER PUERTO RICO AND
SAINT CROIX...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE REMAIN POSSIBLE
LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING...MAINLY IN SQUALLY WEATHER AND
RAIN BANDS. MARINE CONDITIONS NEAR GONZALO ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE SEAS
UP TO 18 FEET.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...YOUR BOAT SHOULD BE SECURED.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. AS HURRICANE GONZALO PASSES
CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE FORECASTS.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 500 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ712-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-VIZ002-141515-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST CROIX-
308 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 91 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL AND
SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH
BUT WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SHOWERS.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

OAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOW HAVE
PREPARATIONS COMPLETED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE OF LESS THAN 3 FEET IS EXPECTED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. SEE
LATEST FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF HURRICANE GONZALO.

$$

AMZ715-722-725-VIZ001-141515-
/O.CAN.TJSJ.HU.A.1008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
308 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

$$

AMZ710-141515-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
308 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2014

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD BE IN PORT AT THIS
TIME.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 81 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 100 PERCENT. THIS
REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
HURRICANE GONZALO WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THE
THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS HIGH. THE LATEST AREA FORECAST
IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS...
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 KNOTS POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS MAY BE 15 FEET OR
MORE IN THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE AREA.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS NEAR HURRICANE GONZALO.

$$


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