[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 13 21:13:27 CDT 2014


WTCA82 TJSJ 140212
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GONZALO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1012 PM AST MON OCT 13 2014

...GONZALO EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
POSITION AND EXPECTATIONS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL
OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 9 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.4N...LONGITUDE 63.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 109 MILES EAST
OF SAINT THOMAS USVI. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

OUTER RAIN BANDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO SPREAD GUSTY WINDS AND
BRIEF BUT HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA
AND VIEQUES AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE GONZALO WILL BE THE MAIN SOURCE OF RAIN
FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE RAIN FROM THESE BANDS MAY BE
HEAVY AT TIMES. PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PUERTO RICO...ESPECIALLY
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

AS HURRICANE GONZALO APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TONIGHT MAINLY OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS IN
THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA AND IN THE NORTHERN
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. OVER PUERTO RICO AND SAINT CROIX...WIND GUSTS
TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE REMAIN POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
MORNING...MAINLY IN SQUALLY WEATHER AND RAIN BANDS. MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE AHEAD OF HURRICANE GONZALO
WITH SEAS UP TO 18 FEET.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE
CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. AS HURRICANE GONZALO PASSES
CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE FORECASTS.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 12 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-
140500-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1012 PM AST MON OCT 13 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOW HAVE
PREPARATIONS COMPLETED.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN 48
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS 90 PERCENT FOR THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS...BUT MUCH LESS
IN PUERTO RICO. A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND IS EXPECTED AFTER TONIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE GONZALO APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGHEST MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 MPH IN THE EASTERN-MOST VIRGIN ISLANDS. WINDS WILL BE HIGHER
NORTHEAST OF THE HURRICANE. OTHER AREAS AS FAR WEST AS EASTERN
PUERTO RICO COULD EXPERIENCE STORM FORCE GUSTS.

UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. SOME
POWER LINES MAY BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT ENTIRE
NEIGHBORHOODS. LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED
AND WEAKENED. SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES CAN BE UPROOTED...
ESPECIALLY WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED...OR SNAPPED OFF.

SEAS WILL RISE RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT IN THE PATH OF THE STRONG
TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND COULD REACH
20 FEET IN LOCAL AREAS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. SEE
LATEST FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE OF LESS THAN 3 FEET IS EXPECTED.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF HURRICANE GONZALO.

$$

SNELL


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