[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 280551
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west-northwest of Bermuda.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak area of low
pressure over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico remains limited.
Development of this system is unlikely before it moves inland over
south Texas and northern Mexico later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A tropical wave located just west of the Lesser Antilles continues
to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers.  This system is
expected to move generally westward across the Caribbean Sea with
little development during the next few days.  However, environmental
conditions could become favorable for some development by early next
week in the western Caribbean Sea or the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development
thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake


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