[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 211128
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS
BECOMING ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT...AND TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE...DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BEFORE THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH A COLD
FRONT IN ABOUT A DAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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