[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 142342
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT SEP 14 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
UPGRADED HURRICANE INGRID...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE AZORES. SOME DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS FORMED WELL
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. CONDITIONS
COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN FIVE DAYS AS THE
DISTURBANCE REACHES WARMER WATERS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

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