[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT43 KNHC 061835
TCDAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082013
130 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013

CORRECTED SPELLING OF TAMAULIPAS IN THE LAST PARAGRAPH

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO MOVED MORE
SLOWLY THAN ORIGINALLY PREDICTED...AND THIS ALLOWED MORE TIME FOR
THE SYSTEM TO BECOME ORGANIZED BEFORE REACHING THE COAST OF MEXICO.
WITH THE INCREASED CONVECTIVE BANDING NOTED TODAY...THE SYSTEM IS
NOW CLASSIFYABLE AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. NO ADDITONAL
STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER IS NOW MOVING INLAND NEAR
TAMPICO MEXICO. FROM THIS TIME...THE CYCLONE SHOULD WEAKEN AND
DECAY TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...AND
DISSIPATE COMPLETELY BY 36 HR.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 250/5.  A LOW/MID-LEVEL
RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION SHOULD STEER IT GENERALLY
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL DISSIPATION.

THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS DEPRESSION IS HEAVY RAINS OVER THE MEXICAN
STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TAMAULIPAS...ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  06/1830Z 22.3N  97.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  07/0000Z 22.1N  98.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  07/1200Z 21.9N  99.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  08/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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