[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Sat Oct 5 11:43:21 CDT 2013

WTUS84 KMOB 051642
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1142 AM CDT SAT OCT 5 2013

...WEAKENING AND DISORGANIZED KAREN EXPECTED TO BE DOWNGRADED TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SUNDAY MORNING...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM KAREN IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY
MORNING.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS OF THE
NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND GULF COAST WATERS AND BAYS FROM
DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...UPPER
MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...INLAND
ESCAMBIA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...COASTAL SANTA
ROSA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
THE BAYS AND SOUNDS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND GULF
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60NM.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.9N...LONGITUDE 91.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 290 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MOBILE AL...OR ABOUT 320 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 355 DEGREES AT 7 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM KAREN IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST TONIGHT THEN WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION BY SUNDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A FASTER MOTION TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST
WHILE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT. STORM SURGE EFFECTS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO BE 1
TO 2 FEET...POSSIBLY 3 FEET OVER THE UPPER REACHES OF MOBILE
BAY...DAUPHIN ISLAND AND BAYOU LA BATRE...AND 1 TO 2 FEET FROM FORT
MORGAN EASTWARD TO DESTIN. TIMING IS SUCH THAT WATER LEVELS WILL RISE
TO THEIR HIGHEST VALUES TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE
EACH DAY DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS. WITH KAREN FORECAST TO WEAKEN
TO A DEPRESSION BY SUNDAY MORNING...THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OVER THE AREA HAS DECREASED DRAMATICALLY. STRONG WIND
GUSTS MAY DOWN A FEW POWER POLES AND CAUSE SPOTTY TREE DAMAGE.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS MAINLY
ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF KAREN'S CENTER...AND MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL
COUNTIES. THE TORNADO THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH KAREN REMAINS MINIMAL
AND WOULD BE FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...BUT WITH THE
TORNADO THREAT ENDING FROM THE WEST AS THE CIRCULATION PASSES AND
WINDS BLOW OFFSHORE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 530 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ALZ061>064-060045-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
1142 AM CDT SAT OCT 5 2013