[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 051537
HLSTAE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1137 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013

...KAREN BARELY A TROPICAL STORM OFF THE COAST OF LOUISIANA...

.NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND BIG BEND.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
APALACHICOLA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...OR 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9N...LONGITUDE 91.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT
480 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 400 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH AT 7
MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
KAREN REMAINS A DISORGANIZED AND WEAK TROPICAL STORM. KAREN WILL
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
ACCELERATE. WHILE LITTLE ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED...KAREN COULD APPROACH LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ALONG THE COAST
OF SOUTH ALABAMA OR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH...CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KAREN THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. BE PREPARED TO PUT INTO
ACTION YOUR STORM DISASTER PLAN SHOULD TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO
SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE
LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ108-112-114-052200-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
1137 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 /1037 AM CDT SAT OCT 5 2013/

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS IN COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KAREN THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. SECURE LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND IN WINDS UP TO 40 MPH.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD A TROPICAL STORM WARNING BE
ISSUED.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NO CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN ASSOCIATION WITH
KAREN. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS AROUND 20
PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEARS THE REGION...THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONGER WINDS WILL INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...WINDS
UP TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...MAINLY IN GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THESE WINDS WOULD BE MOST
LIKELY TO OCCUR BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH
STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF
STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 1 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1
TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE
STORM SURGE ZONE...GENERALLY CONFINED TO LOW LYING AREAS
IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE COAST.

...RIP CURRENTS AND SURF...
NORTHWARD MOVING SWELLS GENERATED BY KAREN WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT PANHANDLE BEACHES TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
BREAKERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AS
KAREN NEARS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THESE WAVES WILL GENERATE
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.

$$

FLZ115-118-127-128-134-052200-
/O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-
COASTAL DIXIE-
1137 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEKEND...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF
APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST COAST. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND
LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR
WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA.

&&

...WINDS...
WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH
STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF
STORM SURGE AND TIDE...AROUND 1 TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO
2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE
STORM SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN
WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...AND NORTHERN TAYLOR COUNTIES.

$$

GMZ750-770-052200-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1137 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT BEFORE CONDITIONS
DETERIORATE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
THERE IS A 25 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY INCREASE. BASED ON THE LATEST
FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...MAINLY TO THE WEST OF CAPE SAN BLAS.

SEAS WILL LIKELY REACH 5 TO 8 FEET BY SUNDAY AS KAREN MOVES CLOSER
TO THE AREA.

$$

GODSEY




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