[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLIX 041003
HLSLIX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
503 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...KAREN WEAKENS A LITTLE...EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY SATURDAY OR
SATURDAY NIGHT...

.NEW INFORMATION...
NO CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALREADY IN AFFECT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH
MISSISSIPPI.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LOWER JEFFERSON...LOWER PLAQUEMINES AND
LOWER ST. BERNARD.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS.

A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
HANCOCK...HARRISON AND JACKSON.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ST. TAMMANY...ASCENSION...LIVINGSTON...ASSUMPTION...ST. JAMES...
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...UPPER LAFOURCHE...ST. CHARLES...UPPER
JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD...
UPPER TERREBONNE...LOWER TERREBONNE...LOWER LAFOURCHE AND
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.9N...LONGITUDE 89.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH
OF NEW ORLEANS LA...OR ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTH OF GULFPORT MS.
STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
TROPICAL STORM KAREN IS EXPECTED TO COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN
APPROACHING STRONG COLD FRONT WHILE NEARING THE COAST. THIS WILL
HAVE A BEARING ON THE ACTUAL TRACK...THE OVERALL DISTRIBUTION OF
RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE INCREASE IN WINDS AND GUSTS IN ADVANCE OF
THE TROPICAL STORM.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO
COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.
EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME
IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS AROUND 8 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

GMZ538-552-555-572-575-577-041815-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLIX.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
503 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 55 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 75 KNOTS. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO THE 20 TO 25 FOOT
RANGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

$$

GMZ550-570-041815-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
503 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO
SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE 20 TO 25 FOOT RANGE MAINLY IN
THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE SETTLING INTO
THE 15 TO 20 FOOT RANGE SATURDAY NIGHT.

$$

GMZ532-534-536-557-041815-
/O.CON.KLIX.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MISSISSIPPI SOUND-LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
503 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT TO
LATE SUNDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
DANGEROUSLY ROUGH WAVES OF 5 TO 7 FEET ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY.

$$

GMZ530-041815-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
503 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY
MORNING. DANGEROUSLY ROUGH WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.


$$

LAZ068>070-041815-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLIX.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-
503 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE DOORS.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO 65 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
80 MPH.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED.  POORLY ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE
DESTROYED...ALONG WITH THOSE OF OLD OR POOR CONSTRUCTION.  SOME
WELL ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...WALLS...AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE.
SOME HOMES OF FRAME CONSTRUCTION WILL SUSTAIN PARTIAL WALL AND
ROOF FAILURE...AND POSSIBLY BLOWN OUT WINDOWS.  LOOSE OUTDOOR
ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND
POSSIBLE INJURY.  MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE POWER OUTAGES WITH
SOME DOWNED POWER POLES.  NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY
TREES WILL SNAP.  SOME TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...ESPECIALLY WHERE
THE GROUND IS SATURATED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 2 TO
4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE EAST FACING SHORELINES OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE PROTECTION
LEVEES. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

FOR 2 TO 4 FEET OF INUNDATION STORM SURGE FLOODING CAN BE
EXPECTED OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES. FLOODING OF SEVERAL
FEET OF WATER WILL OCCUR IN NON ELEVATED STRUCTURES OR THOSE BUILT
ON SLABS... CAUSING DAMAGE. ROADS ALONG THE COAST...BAYOUS...BAYS
AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE IMPASSABLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

MSZ080>082-041815-
/O.CON.KLIX.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
503 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED.

REGARDING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS...COVER ALL WINDOWS AND DOORS
WITH SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE
OBJECTS INDOORS. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS. DO THIS AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY EVENING TO EARLY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM KAREN. MUCH DEPENDS
ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

LAZ040-049-050-056>067-072-041815-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. TAMMANY-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
503 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM KAREN. MUCH DEPENDS
ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION  OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

LAZ034>037-039-046>048-071-MSZ068>071-077-041115-
/O.CAN.KLIX.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-
IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
503 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...NEGLIGIBLE IMPACTS EXPECTED FROM TROPICAL STORM KAREN ...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS OPPORTUNITY TO REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A PLAN...MAKE ONE. IF YOU NEED
ASSISTANCE WITH YOUR PLAN...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR AMERICAN RED CROSS.

&&

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

24/RR






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