[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Thu Oct 3 23:32:59 CDT 2013

WTUS84 KMOB 040432
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1132 PM CDT THU OCT 3 2013

...KAREN EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO ON FRIDAY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
NO CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND GULF COAST
WATERS AND BAYS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...UPPER
MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...INLAND
ESCAMBIA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...COASTAL SANTA
ROSA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE BAYS AND
SOUNDS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND GULF WATERS FROM DESTIN
TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60NM.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST. KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO...AND KAREN COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH LATE FRIDAY AND
EARLY SATURDAY. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
KAREN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY AND THEN A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST ON
SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KAREN IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE ALABAMA COAST ON SATURDAY. GENERALLY...THIS FORECASTS
IMPLIES LOCATIONS WEST OF MOBILE BAY TO EXPERIENCE 2 TO 4 FEET OF
INUNDATION FLOODING... WHILE 1 TO 2 FEET OF INUNDATION IS FORECAST EAST OF
MOBILE BAY AND INTO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE PRIOR
TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE SURGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM. ANOTHER
CONCERN WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING STORM RELATED
WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST AND EAST OF THE STORM CENTER FRIDAY...FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO
LATE SATURDAY. LESSER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST WEST OF THE
TRACK. ISOLATED TORNADOES COULD OCCUR ANYTIME AS THE OUTER RAINBANDS
APPROACH THE CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM LATE FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT
FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS
FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 530 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ALZ061>064-041245-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
1132 PM CDT THU OCT 3 2013