[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Thu Oct 3 18:05:55 CDT 2013

WTUS84 KMOB 032305
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
605 PM CDT THU OCT 3 2013

...TROPICAL STORM KAREN CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH NORTHWEST ACROSS
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...

.NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND GULF COAST
WATERS AND BAYS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...UPPER
MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...INLAND
ESCAMBIA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...COASTAL SANTA
ROSA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
THE BAYS AND SOUNDS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND GULF
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60NM.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3N...LONGITUDE 88.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTH
OF MOBILE AL. STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

TROPICAL STORM KAREN IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY TO NEAR HURRICANE
STRENGTH AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO TURN
NORTHWARD AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND THE
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COASTLINE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH AN INCREASED THREAT OF LANDFALL SOMEWHERE
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST REGION SOMETIME SATURDAY NIGHT OR
SUNDAY MORNING.

IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES
FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. GENERALLY...THE FORECAST CURRENTLY CALLS FOR
LOCATIONS WEST OF MOBILE BAY TO EXPERIENCE 2 TO 4 FEET OF INUNDATION...
WHILE 1 TO 2 FEET OF INUNDATION IS FORECAST EAST OF MOBILE BAY AND
INTO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. ANOTHER CONCERN
WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS COASTAL
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...PRIMARILY NEAR THE COAST AND EAST OF
THE STORM CENTER. ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY ALSO BECOME A CONCERN
DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF KAREN.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT
FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS
FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 1130 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ALZ061>064-040715-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
605 PM CDT THU OCT 3 2013