[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 3 09:31:15 CDT 2013


WTNT31 KNHC 031430
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112013
1100 AM AST THU OCT 03 2013

...JERRY LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR SO...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 40.2W
ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.2 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.  A
NORTHEASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND JERRY IS FORECAST TO BECOME
A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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