[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

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WTNT42 KNHC 201433
TCDAT2

TROPICAL STORM BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1000 AM CDT THU JUN 20 2013

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF BARRY
MADE LANDFALL BETWEEN 1200 AND 1300 UTC JUST NORTH OF VERACRUZ
MEXICO WITH ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 KNOTS. SINCE THAT
TIME...WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DECREASE AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS
BEEN LOWERED TO 35 KNOTS. THESE WINDS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING OVER
WATER NEAR THE COAST.  ALTHOUGH THE CENTER IS ALREADY INLAND...THE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. IN
ADDITION...SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WELL EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD
WESTWARD PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS...PRIMARILY OVER THE STATE OF
VERACRUZ FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER A LARGE PORTION OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO.

BARRY IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 4 KNOTS TRAPPED SOUTH OF NARROW
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
UNTIL DISSIPATION IN 24 HOURS OR SO.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  20/1500Z 19.6N  96.6W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
 12H  21/0000Z 19.6N  97.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  21/1200Z 19.6N  98.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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