[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT41 KNHC 080832
TCDAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012013
500 AM EDT SAT JUN 08 2013


SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION IS ELONGATED AND
DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE CENTER HAS BEEN PLACED NEAR THE AREA OF
MINIMUM PRESSURE AND USING CONTINUITY. THE BEST ESTIMATE OF THE
INITIAL MOTION IS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 045 DEGREES AT 30
KNOTS. THE INTENSITY REMAINS AT 40 KNOTS...BUT THESE WINDS ARE
OCCURRING PRIMARILY WELL EAST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

I DO NOT HAVE MUCH MORE TO SAY ABOUT THIS POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN EASTWARD
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE HIGH LATITUDE WESTERLIES.

THE THREAT FOR HIGH WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND LOCALIZED COASTAL
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS IN THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO BE COMMUNICATED THROUGH
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING PRODUCTS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  08/0900Z 40.9N  72.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  08/1800Z 44.0N  67.5W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  09/0600Z 46.5N  60.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  09/1800Z 47.5N  52.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  10/0600Z...ABSORBED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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