[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jul 29 14:55:10 CDT 2013


ABNT20 KNHC 291954
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
355 PM EDT MON JUL 29 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE
REMNANTS OF DORIAN...LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF
PUERTO RICO...CONFIRM THAT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE A CLOSED
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION.  IN ADDITION...THE DISTURBANCE IS POORLY
ORGANIZED WITH THE LOWEST SURFACE PRESSURES WELL REMOVED FROM THE
MAIN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS.

UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION TO
OCCUR.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN
ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE IN SQUALLS ARE
EXPECTED TO STAY WELL TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND COULD
SPREAD ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF THE
BAHAMAS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE FOUND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN


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