[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jul 29 12:46:32 CDT 2013


ABNT20 KNHC 291746
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUL 29 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA...AS WELL AS EARLY DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RECONNAISSANCE MISSION...INDICATE THAT THERE IS NO CLOSED
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN...
WHICH ARE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION TO
OCCUR...AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION APPEARS TO
BE DIMINISHING.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THE REMNANTS
OF DORIAN ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS
ARE EXPECTED TO STAY WELL TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND
COULD SPREAD ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE BAHAMAS
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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