[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 111138
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF CHANTAL EXTENDS FROM HISPANIOLA NORTHWARD TO THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC. THERE
ARE NO SIGNS OF REGENERATION AT THIS TIME AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN HOSTILE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY
RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS...ARE EXPECTED TO
SPREAD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TODAY AND FRIDAY
AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTHWESTWARD.  THE AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE MISSION SCHEDULED FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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