[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Aug 3 15:32:11 CDT 2013


WTNT44 KNHC 032031
TCDAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042013
500 PM EDT SAT AUG 03 2013

THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR MOST OF THE
DAY...AND IT IS DIFFICULT TO ASCERTAIN IF A CLOSED CIRCULATION
STILL EXISTS. ON THIS BASIS...THE DEPRESSION IS NOW CONSIDERED A
REMNANT LOW. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
ABOUT 15 TO 20 KNOTS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW AHEAD OF AN UPPER
TROUGH. THE LOW COULD STILL DEVELOP INTERMITTENT CONVECTION BEFORE
DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM
CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  03/2100Z 31.7N  77.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  04/0600Z 33.0N  75.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  04/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



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