[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 021149
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 2 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN IS
LOCATED BETWEEN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS NOT
BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT...BUT CONDITIONS WILL STILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR SLIGHT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS
DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA TODAY. AFTER THAT...THE DISTURBANCE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND BECOME ASSOCIATED
WITH A FRONTAL TROUGH OFFSHORE OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THE
AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE HURRICANE MISSION SCHEDULED FOR TODAY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013.  COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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