[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ82 PGUM 010035 CCA
HLSPQ2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
900 AM CHST MON OCT 1 2012

CORRECTED HEADER

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W HEADED TOWARD THE NORTHERN CNMI...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE ON PAGAN...AGRIHAN AND ALAMAGAN IN THE NORTHERN CNMI.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PAGAN...AGRIHAN AND
ALAMAGAN IN THE NORTHERN CNMI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 700 AM CHST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.9 DEGREES
EAST. THIS IS ABOUT

               90 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN
              115 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN
              160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN
              140 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN AND
              270 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 14 MPH.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN FORWARD SPEED AND
CURVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 35 MPH. TD 20W IS EXPECTED
TO INTENSIFY AND WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON.

...PAGAN...ALAMAGAN AND AGRIHAN...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS OF PAGAN...ALAMAGAN AND AGRIHAN NEED TO RUSH PREPARATIONS
TO COMPLETION FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE LATER
THIS MORNING. WEATHER ON PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY
THIS MORNING. RESIDENTS ON THESE ISLANDS SHOULD HAVE ADEQUATE FOOD
AND DRINKING WATER STORED AND AVAILABLE IN A SHELTER LOCATED AWAY
FROM THE SHORE. THE SHELTER SHOULD BE STURDY AND CAPABLE OF
WITHSTANDING STRONG WINDS. ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT
PROPERTIES AGAINST COASTAL INUNDATION...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS.
BE AWARE OF FALLING PALM FRONDS AND COCONUTS CAUSED BY STRONG WINDS.
STAY OUT OF THE WATER SINCE SURF IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AND RIP
CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE THREATENING. DO NOT ATTEMPT ANY INTER-ISLAND
TRAVEL AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING AS SEAS WILL BE ROUGH AND
DANGEROUS.

...WIND INFORMATION...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS
AFTERNOON. THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR
ALAMAGAN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH THIS MORNING. DAMAGING EAST TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
OFFSHORE SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FEET THIS MORNING WILL CLIMB TO BETWEEN 9
AND 12 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. SURF COULD BUILD UP TO 10 TO 12 FEET ON
EXPOSED SHORES TONIGHT. INUNDATION OF UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
IS POSSIBLE ALONG EASTERN EXPOSURES THIS EVENING...AND ALONG EASTERN
AND SOUTHEASTERN EXPOSURES ON TUESDAY MORNING. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE
VERY STRONG AND LIFE THREATENING.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. LOCAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN
POOR-DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING AREAS.

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE THIS AFTERNOON AT 300 PM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

MCELROY





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