[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMHX 271810
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
210 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST SOUTH OF DUCK...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS NEAR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MAINLAND DARE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND HYDE...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...
CARTERET...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO
SOUNDS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT
BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 12 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0N...LONGITUDE 76.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTH
OF BUXTON NC...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF MOREHEAD CITY NC.
STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
75 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND REMAIN OFFSHORE OF
THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THIS WEEKEND. DESPITE REMAINING OFFSHORE
IT WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ALONG COASTAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND ROUGH SURF WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. IN GENERAL...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR
STORM SURGE RESULTING IN INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL ALONG THE LOWER NEUSE...SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PAMLICO SOUND AND
OUTER BANKS OCEAN SIDE NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS. SOUTH OF CAPE
HATTERAS OCEAN SIDE PREPARE FOR INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
GROUND. RESIDENTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ALBEMARLE
SOUND SHOULD PREPARE FOR INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET.

WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE COAST...OVER THE INLAND AREAS WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
40 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY.

RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA TODAY CONTINUING INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS EAST OF HWY 17 WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO
8 INCHES WITH THE MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE COAST.
THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. WHILE WEST OF HWY 17 IS EXPECTED TO RANGE 2
TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
BREAKING WAVES IN THE SURF ZONE INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 FEET NORTH
OF CAPE LOOKOUT AND 6 TO 10 FEET TO THE SOUTH BY THIS AFTERNOON.
SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED ALONG NORTH AND NORTHEAST
FACING BEACHES.

THERE REMAINS A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN EXACT WIND AND SURGE
FORECAST VALUES PROVIDED FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN
SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST SOME DAMAGING WINDS AND
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING LIKELY SOMEWHERE WITHIN EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

AMZ150-152-154-156-158-280215-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
210 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 38 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHTLY DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 18 TO 23 FEET OVER THE OUTER COASTAL
WATERS.

$$

NCZ103-104-280215-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
210 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
26 TO 33 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHTLY DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY. MOST POORLY ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES WILL
BE DAMAGED...SOME SEVERELY. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...GUTTERS AND WINDOWS...ESPECIALLY IF THESE
ITEMS ARE NOT PROPERLY SECURED. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. SOME
POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN BY FALLING TREES...RESULTING IN
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF TREES WILL BE
SNAPPED...AND A FEW TREES WILL BE UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE OUTER BANKS SHOULD PREPARE FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND
OVERWASH WITH INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. ON THE
OCEAN SIDE THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES OF 10 TO 15
FEET CAUSING SIGNIFICANT WAVE RUN UP AND DUNE OVERWASH AND
DESTRUCTION. HIGHWAY 12 IS VULNERABLE IN TYPICALLY PRONE AREA TO
BEING INUNDATED OR WASHED OUT OUT ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE
OUTER BANKS, PARTICULARLY FROM AROUND RODANTHE NORTH THROUGH DUCK
WHERE CONDITIONS COULD APPROACH MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING.

AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY PREPARE FOR
SOUND SIDE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ANYWHERE
SOUNDSIDE ON THE OUTER BANKS INCLUDING ROANOKE ISLAND. DUNES WILL
LIKELY BE BREACHED AND HIGHWAY 12 INUNDATED OR WASHED OUT IN
TYPICALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

FIVE TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES.

$$

NCZ093>095-280215-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-
210 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SHELTER WILL BE OPENED AT ATLANTIC ELEMENTARY SCHOOL IN CARTERET
COUNTY...BEGINNING TODAY AT 6 PM EDT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
15 TO 24 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHTLY DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALONG THE UPPER NEUSE RIVER RESIDENTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FROM NEW BERN TO
HAVELOCK.

FOR THE LOWER PORTION OF THE NEUSE BE PREPARED FOR 3 TO 5 FEET OF
INUNDATION ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...ESPECIALLY IN SOME OF THE SMALLER
CREEKS SUCH AS SLOCUM AND CLUBFOOT CREEK.

RESIDENTS ALONG THE CORE SOUND INTO HARKERS ISLAND AND
BEAUFORT...SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR 2 TO 4 FEET WITH 1 TO 2 FEET
POSSIBLE INTO HARKERS AND BEAUFORT. ALONG BOGUE SOUND FROM
ATLANTIC BEACH TO HARKERS ISLAND AND INTO SWANSBORO PREPARE FOR
INUNDATION OF ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL.

ALONG THE BEACHES...BE PREPARED FOR INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT AND 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ALONG BOGUE BANKS. BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 10 FEET WILL
CAUSE SIGNIFICANT EROSION ISSUES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS.

$$

NCZ098-280215-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ONSLOW-
210 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
VERY SMALL. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
PREPARE FOR WATER LEVELS PRODUCING INUNDATION OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE BEACHES. INUNDATION WILL BE HIGHEST NEAR NORTH
TOPSAIL BEACH WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 10 FEET WILL CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT EROSION ISSUES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS.


$$

NCZ047-080-081-280215-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-
210 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 31 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHTLY DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO
45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE PAMLICO RIVER.
INUNDATION WILL LIKELY BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE THE GROUND LEVEL WITH
AS MUCH AS 3 FEET IN SMALL TRIBUTARIES ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE LIKE
BLOUNTS CREEK, DURHAM CREEK AND SOUTH CREEK.

RESIDENTS ALONG THE NORTHERN PAMLICO...PUNGO RIVER...AND THE
REMAINDER OF MAINLAND HYDE COUNTY SHOULD PREPARE FOR A FOOT OR
LESS OF INUNDATION ABOVE GROUND LEVEL.

RESIDENTS ALONG MAINLAND DARE COUNTY CAN EXPECT 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL NORMAL IS POSSIBLE.

ONCE WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT ANY WATER LEVEL RISES IN
THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO RIVER WILL DIMINISH AS WATER IS BLOWN OUT OF
THE RIVER.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

FIVE TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS.

$$

AMZ130-135-280215-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-
210 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 33 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL SLIGHTLY DOWNWARD TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 KNOTS.

WAVES WILL RANGE 4 TO 6 FEET WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES
ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE PAMLICO SOUND...WHILE
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND WILL RANGE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL.

$$

BM/RSB




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