[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Oct 27 05:07:11 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KMHX 271006
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
606 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST SOUTH OF DUCK...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MAINLAND DARE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND HYDE...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...
CARTERET...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO
SOUNDS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT
BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6N...LONGITUDE 76.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTH
OF BUXTON NC...OR ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH OF MOREHEAD CITY NC.
STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
70 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND REMAIN
OFFSHORE OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THIS WEEKEND. DESPITE
REMAINING OFFSHORE IT WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ALONG
COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA.

MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND ROUGH SURF WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. IN GENERAL...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR
STORM SURGE RESULTING IN INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PAMLICO SOUND AND OUTER BANKS
OCEAN SIDE NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS. SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS OCEAN
SIDE PREPARE FOR INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND. RESIDENTS
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ALBEMARLE SOUND SHOULD PREPARE
FOR INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET.

WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE COAST...OVER THE INLAND AREAS WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY. RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD
THE AREA TODAY CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES INLAND WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES
ALONG THE COAST...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF
RAIN WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
BREAKING WAVES IN THE SURF ZONE INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 FEET BY
THIS AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED ALONG NORTH AND
NORTHEAST FACING BEACHES.

THERE REMAINS A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN EXACT WIND AND
SURGE FORECAST VALUES PROVIDED FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL
CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST SOME DAMAGING
WINDS AND MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING LIKELY SOMEWHERE WITHIN
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND 12 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

AMZ150-152-154-156-158-271815-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
606 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 42
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
60 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 18 TO 23 FEET OVER THE OUTER COASTAL
WATERS.

$$

NCZ103-104-271815-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
606 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 28 TO 38
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS THIS EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS 55 TO 60 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE OUTER BANKS SHOULD PREPARE FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND
OVERWASH WITH INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ON THE
OCEAN SIDE NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS WITH 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS INCLUDING OCRACOKE. AS WINDS BECOME
NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY PREPARE FOR SOUND SIDE FLOODING
OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ANYWHERE SOUNDSIDE ON THE OUTER
BANKS INCLUDING ROANOKE ISLAND. DUNES WILL LIKELY BE BREACHED AND
HIGHWAY 12 INUNDATED OR WASHED OUT IN TYPICALLY VULNERABLE
LOCATIONS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

FIVE TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES.

$$

NCZ093>095-271815-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-
606 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SHELTER WILL BE OPENED AT ATLANTIC ELEMENTARY SCHOOL IN CARTERET
COUNTY...BEGINNING TODAY AT 6 PM EDT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 16 TO 26
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 40 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH...WITH HIGHEST WINDS ACROSS
DOWNEAST CARTERET COUNTY.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
RESIDENTS ALONG THE LOWER NEUSE AND SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND SHOULD
PREPARE FOR INUNDATION OF TO 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL LATE
SATURDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY. PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 12 AND
HIGHWAY 70 IN DOWNEAST CARTERET COUNTY MAY BE INUNDATED. SURGE
AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY DIMINISH AS YOU PROGRESS INTO THE UPPER NEUSE
WITH ONLY A FOOT OR LESS OF INUNDATION IN THE NEW BERN AREA.

ALONG THE BEACHES...PREPARE FOR WATER LEVELS PRODUCING INUNDATION
OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND WITH SIGNIFICANT EROSION FROM HIGH SURF.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS.

$$

NCZ098-271815-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ONSLOW-
606 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY
SMALL. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
PREPARE FOR WATER LEVELS PRODUCING INUNDATION OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE BEACHES. INUNDATION WILL BE HIGHEST NEAR NORTH
TOPSAIL BEACH WHICH WILL BE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING
AND OVERWASH.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS.

$$

NCZ047-080-081-271815-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-
606 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 35
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40
MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE LOWER PAMLICO
RIVER. INUNDATION WILL LIKELY BE 1 TO 2 FEET OR LESS, HIGHEST
ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF BEAUFORT COUNTY. ONCE WINDS
BECOME NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT ANY WATER LEVEL RISES IN THE
SOUTHERN PAMLICO RIVER WILL DIMINISH AS WATER IS BLOWN OUT OF THE
RIVER.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

FIVE TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

$$

AMZ135-271815-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PAMLICO SOUND-
606 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 37
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS.  WAVES WILL RANGE 4 TO 6 FEET WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES
ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE PAMLICO SOUND.

$$

AMZ130-271815-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-
606 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 37
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS THIS EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS.  WAVES WILL RANGE 4 TO 6 FEET WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES
ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.

$$

CQD/RSB




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