[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Oct 26 22:43:41 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KMHX 270343
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1143 PM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST SOUTH OF DUCK...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MAINLAND DARE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND HYDE...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...
CARTERET...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO
SOUNDS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT
BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.7N...LONGITUDE 77.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH
OF BUXTON NC...OR ABOUT 480 MILES SOUTH OF MOREHEAD CITY NC.
STORM MOTION WAS N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
75 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND REMAIN OFFSHORE
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THIS WEEKEND. DESPITE REMAINING OFFSHORE
IT WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ALONG COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA.

MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND ROUGH SURF WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. IN GENERAL...RESIDENTS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STORM SURGE RESULTING IN INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND AND LOWER
NEUSE RIVER AND 2 TO 4 FEET ALONG THE OCEAN. RESIDENTS ALONG
THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ALBEMARLE SOUND COULD EXPERIENCE
INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET.

WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE COAST...OVER THE INLAND AREAS WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE LIKELY. RAIN WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES INLAND WITH 4 TO 7
INCHES ALONG THE COAST...LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
BREAKING WAVES IN THE SURF ZONE INCREASING TO 10 TO 14 FEET BY
SATURDAY. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED ALONG NORTH AND
NORTHEAST FACING BEACHES.

THERE REMAINS A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN EXACT WIND AND
SURGE FORECAST VALUES PROVIDED FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL
CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST SOME DAMAGING
WINDS AND MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING LIKELY SOMEWHERE WITHIN
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND 7 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

AMZ150-152-154-156-158-271145-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
1143 PM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 51
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
60 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 17 TO 22 FEET OVER THE OUTER COASTAL
WATERS.

$$

NCZ103-104-271145-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
1143 PM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 40 TO 46
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE OUTER BANKS SHOULD PREPARE FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND
OVERWASH WITH INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ON THE
OCEAN SIDE...UP TO 6 FEET WITH WAVE RUN UP NORTH OF OREGON INLET.
AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY PREPARE FOR
SOUND SIDE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. DUNES WILL
LIKELY BE BREACHED AND HIGHWAY 12 INUNDATED OR WASHED OUT IN
TYPICALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS.

$$

NCZ093>095-271145-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-
1143 PM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 38
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25
TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS
ACROSS DOWNEAST CARTERET COUNTY.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
RESIDENTS ALONG THE LOWER NEUSE AND SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND SHOULD
PREPARE FOR INUNDATION OF TO 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL LATE
SATURDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY. PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 12 AND
HIGHWAY 70 IN DOWNEAST CARTERET COUNTY MAY BE INUNDATED.

ALONG THE BEACHES...PREPARE FOR WATER LEVELS PRODUCING INUNDATION
OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND.

$$

NCZ098-271145-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ONSLOW-
1143 PM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 22 TO 27
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25
TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
PREPARE FOR WATER LEVELS PRODUCING INUNDATION OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE BEACHES. NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH WILL BE
PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING AND OVERWASH.

$$

NCZ047-080-081-271145-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-
1143 PM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 43 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.  THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40
MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE LOWER PAMLICO
RIVER.

$$

AMZ135-271145-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PAMLICO SOUND-
1143 PM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 46 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START
AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
60 KNOTS. WAVES WILL RANGE 4 TO 6 FEET WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES
ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE PAMLICO SOUND.

$$

AMZ130-271145-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-
1143 PM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 45 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START
AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
60 KNOTS. WAVES WILL RANGE 4 TO 6 FEET WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES
ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.

$$



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