[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMHX 261552
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1152 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SOUTH OF
OREGON INLET...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MAINLAND DARE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND HYDE...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...
CARTERET...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF OREGON INLET INCLUDING
THE PAMLICO SOUND.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7N...LONGITUDE 76.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH
OF BUXTON NC...OR ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF MOREHEAD CITY NC.
STORM MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
80 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND REMAIN OFFSHORE
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THIS WEEKEND. DESPITE REMAINING
OFFSHORE IT WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ALONG COASTAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND ROUGH SURF WILL DEVELOP
SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. IN GENERAL...RESIDENTS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR STORM SURGE RESULTING IN INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND AND LOWER
NEUSE RIVER AND 2 TO 4 FEET ALONG THE OCEAN.

WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE COAST...OVER THE INLAND AREAS WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE LIKELY. RAIN WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
INTO MONDAY.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES INLAND
WITH 4 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE COAST...LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES
WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH BREAKING WAVES IN THE SURF ZONE
INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 FEET BY SATURDAY. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
IS EXPECTED ALONG NORTH AND NORTHEAST FACING BEACHES.

THERE REMAINS A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN EXACT WIND AND
SURGE FORECAST VALUES PROVIDED FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL
CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST SOME DAMAGING
WINDS AND MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING LIKELY SOMEWHERE WITHIN
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

AMZ135-152-154-156-158-270000-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.A.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PAMLICO SOUND-S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
1152 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 43
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SUNDAY MORNING TO LATE
MONDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST
TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA LATE SATURDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL
BUILD TO 15 TO 20 FEET OVER THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS.

$$

NCZ103-104-270000-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.A.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
1152 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 34 TO 40
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING TO LATE MONDAY
EVENING. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT
LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE OUTER BANKS SHOULD PREPARE FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND
OVERWASH WITH INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ON THE
OCEAN SIDE...UP TO 6 FEET WITH WAVE RUN UP NORTH OF OREGON INLET.
AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY PREPARE FOR
SOUND SIDE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. DUNES WILL
LIKELY BE BREACHED AND HIGHWAY 12 INUNDATED OR WASHED OUT IN
TYPICALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
VERY ROUGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED LATER
TODAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

$$

NCZ093>095-270000-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.A.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-
1152 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 32
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS SATURDAY EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY NIGHT TO LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. A
GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST MINOR
DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
RESIDENTS ALONG THE LOWER NEUSE AND SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND SHOULD
PREPARE FOR INUNDATION OF TO 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL LATER
SATURDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY. PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 12 IN
DOWNEAST CARTERET COUNTY MAY BE INUNDATED.

ALONG THE BEACHES...PREPARE FOR WATER LEVELS PRODUCING INUNDATION
OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
VERY ROUGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED LATER
TODAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

$$

NCZ098-270000-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.A.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ONSLOW-
1152 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 18 TO 23
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.  A GENERAL
CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST MINOR DAMAGE
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
PREPARE FOR WATER LEVELS PRODUCING INUNDATION OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE BEACHES. NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH WILL BE
PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING AND OVERWASH.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
VERY ROUGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED LATER
TODAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

$$

NCZ047-080-081-270000-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.A.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-
1152 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 37
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS SUNDAY EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT TO EARLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT
LEAST MINOR DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO BE OUT OF THE NORTH WATER LEVELS SHOULD
NOT INCREASE MUCH WITH POSSIBLY VERY MINOR RISES OVER THE LOWER
PAMLICO RIVER.

$$

HSA/RSB




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