[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 252228
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
628 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...INCREASING WINDS AND RAIN AS SANDY MOVES OVER BAHAMAS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION AND WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM
BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...COASTAL COLLIER...INLAND COLLIER...
INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI
DADE...AND MAINLAND MONROE...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS
ARE STILL A CONCERN.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5N...LONGITUDE 75.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 320 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 300 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE FL...OR ABOUT 300 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES AT
20 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST SHOWS SANDY CONTINUING
NORTH AS A HURRICANE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN BAHAMAS...THEN AWAY FROM SOUTH FLORIDA SATURDAY
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.

WINDS ARE FORECAST TO STEADILY INCREASE TONIGHT...PEAK THROUGH THE
DAY FRIDAY AS SANDY MAKES ITS CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH TO SOUTH
FLORIDA...THEN GRADUALLY TREND DOWN LATER SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS
SANDY LIFTS NORTH AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COASTAL LOCATIONS WILL BE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. AS A
RESULT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE
COASTAL LOCATIONS THROUGH THIS TIME. ALTHOUGH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOT IN EFFECT ACROSS THE METRO AREAS OF SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA...WIND GUSTS...MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE BANDS OF HEAVY
RAIN SPREADING ASHORE...WILL FREQUENTLY EXCEED THE 35 TO 45 MPH
RANGE AND OCCASIONALLY REACH THE 50 TO 55 MPH RANGE IN THE
STRONGER BANDS.

AT THE BEACHES...SURF HEIGHTS AND RIP CURRENTS HAVE ALREADY BECOME
DANGEROUS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. THE LATEST FORECAST
INDICATES SURF HEIGHTS STEADILY BUILDING TONIGHT...PEAKING SOMETIME
THROUGH THE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT PERIOD...THEN SLOWLY TRENDING
DOWN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AS SANDY LIFTS NORTH.

THE MAIN IMPACTS FROM THE ELEVATED SURF HEIGHTS AND RIP CURRENTS
WILL BE MODERATE TO EVEN MAJOR BEACH EROSION ALONG WITH MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
OVERWASH ONTO BEACH ROADS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY NEAR
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WHICH ARE SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE AND THROUGH THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING PERIODS. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF BISCAYNE BAY
DUE TO THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF NORTHERLY WINDS OVER THE BAY. COASTAL
FLOODING OVER THIS PORTION OF THE BAY WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...THEN STEADILY TREND DOWN AS THE WINDS BECOME
OFFSHORE AND THE WATER LEVELS TREND DOWN.

SCATTERED AND FAST MOVING HEAVY SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH
OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY AS BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN CONTINUE TO
SPREAD ASHORE AND SANDY PASSES EAST OF THE LOCAL AREA. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING REMAINS A POSSIBILITY IF BANDS
BECOME PERSISTENT. RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION AS CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THIS TIME.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE
FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE
SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ168-172-173-260630-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
628 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 23
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...
STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. THEREFORE...A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN THE EFFECT FOR THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS COULD APPROACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE PARTICULARLY DURING THE
DAY ON FRIDAY INTO THE NIGHT WITH PALM BEACH COUNTY HAVING THE
BEST CHANCE OF EXPERIENCING THOSE CONDITIONS IF THEY MATERIALIZE.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS LARGE
BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW ROOTED AND
DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS
EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING
CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED
ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-260630-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
628 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 50 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY PASSES EAST OF THE AREA OVER THE
BAHAMAS...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS
BEYOND 20 NM. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40
KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS WITH CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY BEGIN IMPROVING THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY.

SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
TONIGHT...PEAK SOMETIME BETWEEN FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN
STEADILY TREND DOWN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

$$

AMZ610-260630-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
628 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
VERY SMALL. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE SANDY PASSES TO THE EAST...STRONGER
WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS PARTICULARLY LATE FRIDAY THOUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY SATURDAY MORNING BUT SLOWLY.
HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE SANDY PASSES EAST OF THE AREA...STRONGER
WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST
FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

$$

FLZ063-066>075-260630-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
628 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES...

...WINDS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 35
MPH...HIGHEST OVER METRO AREAS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA AS SHOWERS
MOVE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EVEN
MORE LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AS HURRICANE SANDY
MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO SOUTH FLORIDA. GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGHEST OVER THE METRO
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
METRO MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY
INFORMED.

$$

FLZ174-260630-
/O.NEW.KMFL.TR.A.1018.121025T2228Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
628 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
10 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT INCREASING TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY PASSES EAST OF THE AREA...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH FRIDAY. CLOSELY
MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. A GENERAL
CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF MINOR DAMAGE, INCLUDING
SNAPPED TREE BRANCHES, UPROOTING OF SMALL OR WEAK TREES AND DOWNED
POWER LINES RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

$$






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