[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 25 16:53:56 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KJAX 252153
HLSJAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
553 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...FRINGE EFFECTS EXPECTED FROM SANDY FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
COASTAL SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
NASSAU...DUVAL...ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5N...LONGITUDE 75.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 540 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FL. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES
AT 20 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE SANDY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE HOWEVER IT
HAS A BROAD WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH IT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST AND SANDY
TO OUR EAST CAUSING AN INCREASE IN COASTAL AREA WINDS. CONDITIONS
WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO A VERY STRONG LOCAL NORTHEASTER WHICH WE
EXPERIENCE FREQUENTLY THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.  LOCALLY THIS
IS A VERY ACTIVE BOATING WEEKEND ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND
INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY. SMALL CRAFT WILL EXPERIENCE DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS ON THE RIVER WITH NORTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH AND
VERY ROUGH RIVER CONDITIONS. VESSELS ANCHORED IN EXPOSED COVES
COULD DRAG ANCHOR. THERE WILL BE EXTREMELY STRONG CURRENTS ON THE
RIVER DURING THE TIMES OF EBB AND FLOOD TIDES. ENSURE ANYONE ON
DECK IS WEARING A COAST GUARD APPROVED TYPE ONE LIFE JACKET.

WINDS WILL BE QUITE GUSTY FOR HIGH RISE STRUCTURES ALONG THE
BEACHES AND RIVER. OBJECTS WHICH MIGHT BE BLOWN AROUND SHOULD BE
SECURED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. DOWNTOWN OBJECTS IN THE TENTS AND RV
PARK THAT MIGHT BE BLOWN AROUND SHOULD BE SECURED AND EXTRA
TIE DOWNS WILL BE NECESSARY FOR TENTS AND CABANAS.

SUBSTANTIAL SURF ACTION AND BEACH EROSION ARE ALSO EXPECTED
OBJECTS EAST OF THE DUNE LINE SHOULD BE REMOVED TO A SAFE
LOCATION.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE AROUND MIDNIGHT EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ024-025-033-038-260600-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.A.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
553 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
PREPARATIONS FOR THIS STORM SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
20 PERCENT...WITH THE BEST CHANCE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
WHILE HURRICANE SANDY WILL PASS 300 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE
AREA...A LARGE WIND FIELD WITH THE STORM COULD LEAD TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

TONIGHT...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS NORTHEAST TO
NORTH WINDS INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO UP TO 45 MPH.
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE EXPERIENCED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
BEACHES...INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY AND ST JOHNS RIVER AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE COAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. BREAKERS IN THE SURF ZONE ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 4 TO 6
FEET THIS AFTERNOON...6 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT...AND INTO THE 8 TO 12
FEET RANGE FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL
GENERALLY BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY...AND 2 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL BY THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. THE
COMBINATION OF LARGE SURF AND ABOVE NORMAL TIDE WILL PROMOTE
MODERATE TO POSSIBLY SEVERE BEACH EROSION...ESPECIALLY DURING
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

$$

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-260600-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
553 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH 300 MILES OFFSHORE...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET IN THE NEAR SHORE WATERS
AND WILL TOP OUT AROUND 20 FEET OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF WATERSPOUTS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS IN
RAINBANDS.

$$





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