[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 25 05:47:09 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KMFL 251046
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
646 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...INCREASING WINDS AND RAIN AS SANDY MOVES OVER BAHAMAS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION AND PROBABILITIES.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM
BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...COASTAL COLLIER...INLAND COLLIER...
INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI
DADE...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...POSSIBLE
IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.9N...LONGITUDE 75.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 440 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES
FL. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 5 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE SANDY STRENGTHENED TO A CATEGORY TWO STORM JUST BEFORE
LANDFALL OVER EASTERN CUBA OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST SHOWS SANDY MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AS A HURRICANE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH LITTLE
CHANCE IN EXPECTED IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.

DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK, AS WINDS WILL INCREASE
TODAY WITH BANDS OF SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL APPROACH THE EAST COAST LATE TONIGHT
AND POTENTIALLY BRUSH THE COAST ON FRIDAY. EVEN IF SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS DO NOT REACH THE COAST, OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT
GUSTS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH FLORIDA,
ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES.

IN ADDITION, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE ATLANTIC COAST AND BISCAYNE BAY SHORELINE THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY, PARTICULARLY IN THE TRADITIONALLY VULNERABLE AREAS WITH
SOME OVERWASH OF BEACH ROADS IS POSSIBLE NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

SCATTERED AND FAST MOVING HEAVY SHOWERS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF SOUTH
FLORIDA TODAY, WITH RAIN BANDS FROM THE OUTER EDGE OF SANDY
POSSIBLY AFFECTING SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING IS A
POSSIBILITY IF BANDS PERSIST. HOWEVER, CHANGES IN THE FORECAST
COULD STILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE FLOODING
POTENTIAL...SO RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION AS CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE REMINDER OF THE WEEK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...COMPLETE PREPARATIONS TODAY AND FOLLOW
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY
LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR
FLOODING.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE
FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE
SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ168-172-173-251700-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
646 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
9 TO 12 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH GUSTS TO 35 TO
45 MPH, ESPECIALLY IN SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. AS HURRICANE
SANDY MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO SOUTHEAST FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY, SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 50 TO 60 MPH. STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF SANDY MOVES
CLOSER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR DAMAGE TO UN-ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND
AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE
BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND
DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS
EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING
CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED
ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS MAY
BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND
LINES.

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-251700-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
646 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 27 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS THE PRE-DAWN HOURS ON
FRIDAY.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS.
SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 12 FEET
IN THE GULF STREAM TODAY...THEN TO OVER 20 FEET LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THIS WEEKEND.

$$

AMZ610-251700-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
646 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. HOWEVER...STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE IF SANDY MOVES CLOSER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE
READY TO ACT.

$$

FLZ063-066>075-174-251700-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
646 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND INCREASING SHOWERS...

...WINDS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO 40 MPH, HIGHEST OVER METRO
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA AS SHOWERS MOVE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EVEN MORE LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
ON FRIDAY AS HURRICANE SANDY MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH. GUSTS OF
40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY, HIGHEST OVER THE METRO AREAS
OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR METRO
MIAMI-DADE, BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW
TROPICAL STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED.

$$

MOLLEDA




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