[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 250400
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1200 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...HURRICANE SANDY STRENGTHENS, BUT LATEST FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE
CHANGES TO THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...

.NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION AND PROBABILITIES.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL
MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST, BISCAYNE BAY,
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED
HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.4N...LONGITUDE 76.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 560 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 520 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE FL...OR ABOUT 500 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 10 DEGREES AT
13 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 90 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE SANDY HAS STRENGTHENED JUST SOUTH OF EASTERN CUBA.
HOWEVER, THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
SHOWS LITTLE CHANGES TO THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA. AS HURRICANE SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE
BAHAMAS ON THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY
AS EARLY AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE WIND FIELD ON THE WESTERN
EDGE OF SANDY EXPANDS, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD
REACH THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST LATE THURSDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

EVEN IF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DO NOT REACH THE
COAST, OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY. HOWEVER, GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN SCATTERED
HEAVY SHOWERS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

IN ADDITION, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, PARTICULARLY ACROSS
FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF MIAMI BEACH AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF BISCAYNE
BAY.

SCATTERED FAST MOVING HEAVY SHOWERS HAVE ALREADY MOVED ONSHORE THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST, WELL IN ADVANCE OF SANDY. RAIN BANDS
FROM THE OUTER EDGE OF SANDY COULD ALSO AFFECT SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
LATER THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING A POSSIBILITY IF BANDS PERSIST
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST. HOWEVER, CHANGES IN THE FORECAST COULD
STILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE FLOODING
POTENTIAL...SO RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION AS CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE REMINDER OF THE WEEK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD
COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL
BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE
OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 6 AM ...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ168-172-173-251200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
1200 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
10 TO 17 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS THURSDAY NIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
60 MPH.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND
AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE
BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND
DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND UNSECURED LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS
EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING
CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED
ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL
BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND
LINES.

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-251200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
1200 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 35 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT
DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS THURSDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 KNOTS. SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER
12 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THEN 15 TO 20 FEET THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THIS WEEKEND.

$$

AMZ610-251200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
1200 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS.

$$

FLZ063-066>075-174-251200-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
1200 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

...FREQUENT STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE...

...WINDS...
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY BY
THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. WHILE SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED...FREQUENT GUSTS OF
40 TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS PALM BEACH...BROWARD...AND MIAMI-DADE
COUNTIES AND AREAS NEAR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK AND WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL STORM SANDY...RAINBANDS COULD MOVE ONSHORE...RESULTING
IN HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT STRONG WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE. THIS RISK IS GREATEST ACROSS SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. EVEN IF
RAINBANDS REMAIN OFF THE COAST...WINDY CONDITIONS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF HIGH
WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE MIXING TO THE GROUND. A WIND ADVISORY
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR AREAS NOT UNDER A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING SOMETIME ON THURSDAY.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY
INFORMED.

$$

GREGORIA





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