[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 24 16:57:57 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KMFL 242157
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
557 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST
AND THE ADJACENT WATERS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
SITUATION OVERVIEW, PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS,
PROBABILITIES AND WIND SECTIONS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL
MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST, BISCAYNE BAY,
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED
HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3N...LONGITUDE 76.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 620 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 580 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE FL...OR ABOUT 560 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 10 DEGREES AT
14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AS HURRICANE SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS ON
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY AS EARLY
AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE WIND FIELD ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF
SANDY EXPANDS, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD REACH
THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST LATE THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

EVEN IF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DO NOT REACH THE
COAST, OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY. IN ADDITION, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY,
PARTICULARLY ACROSS FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF MIAMI BEACH AND SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF BISCAYNE BAY.

RAIN BANDS FROM THE OUTER EDGE OF SANDY COULD ALSO AFFECT
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA MAINLY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING A POSSIBILITY IF
BANDS PERSIST ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST. HOWEVER, CHANGES IN THE
FORECAST COULD STILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL...SO RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION AS CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE REMINDER
OF THE WEEK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD
COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL
BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE
OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ168-172-173-250600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
557 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
11 TO 21 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START
AS EARLY AS THURSDAY NIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
60 MPH.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND
DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL
SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT-
WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED
ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL
BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND
LINES.

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-250600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
557 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 41 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS THURSDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS.
SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 12 FEET
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THEN 15 TO 20 FEET THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THIS WEEKEND.

$$

AMZ610-250600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
557 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE SANDY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS.

$$

FLZ063-066>075-174-250600-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
557 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...FREQUENT STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE...

...WINDS...
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA, ESPECIALLY BY
THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. WHILE SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED, FREQUENT GUSTS OF 40
TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA, PARTICULARLY
ACROSS PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES AND AREAS NEAR
LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK AND WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL STORM SANDY, RAINBANDS COULD MOVE ONSHORE, RESULTING IN
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT STRONG WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE.
THIS RISK IS GREATEST ACROSS SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. EVEN IF RAINBANDS
REMAIN OFF THE COAST, WINDY CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS
ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF HIGH WINDS ABOVE THE
SURFACE MIXING TO THE GROUND. A WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED FOR AREAS NOT UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOMETIME ON
THURSDAY.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW
TROPICAL STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY
INFORMED.

$$






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