[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 132355
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
755 PM AST SAT OCT 13 2012

...CENTER OF RAFAEL NOW BETWEEN ST. MARTIN AND ST. CROIX...

.NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS AND ST
CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9N...LONGITUDE 63.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 170 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 90 MILES EAST OF SAINT CROIX
VI. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 50 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND RAFAEL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...
280 KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  ST. MARTIN RECENTLY
REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 40 MPH.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 1230 AM AST SUNDAY...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ741-140800-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
755 PM AST SAT OCT 13 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RAFAEL SHOULD PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
WINDS TO 20 KNOTS AND SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET.


$$

PRZ001>011-140800-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
755 PM AST SAT OCT 13 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS DEPEND ON
THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. AT THIS TIME...THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST
TO BE ABOUT 1 FOOT...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER LEVELS IN SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO TONIGHT. REMEMBER...STORM SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED WITH HIGH SEAS.

$$

PRZ012-013-VIZ001-002-140800-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
755 PM AST SAT OCT 13 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST FORECAST FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT
IF FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.

BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AT TIMES. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY WHICH COULD PRODUCE FLOODING
OF GUTS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TONIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH IN
AREAS WITH NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

$$

AMZ712-735-742-745-140800-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
755 PM AST SAT OCT 13 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 8 FEET THROUGH SUNDAY.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
AS TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL TRACKS NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE
TONIGHT...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
IN RAIN BANDS.

$$

AMZ710-715-722-725-732-140800-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
755 PM AST SAT OCT 13 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 8 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT...
INCREASING NEAR 10 FEET BY SUNDAY ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
AS TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL TRACKS NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE
TONIGHT...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
IN RAIN BANDS.

$$




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