[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun May 27 06:05:44 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KCHS 271105
HLSCHS

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
705 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...BERYL MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST...
EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT...

.NEW INFORMATION...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PROVIDED ON WINDS FOR THE WARNING AREA.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND BRYAN...COASTAL BRYAN...INLAND CHATHAM...COASTAL CHATHAM...
LONG...INLAND LIBERTY...COASTAL LIBERTY...INLAND MCINTOSH...
COASTAL MCINTOSH...INLAND JASPER...BEAUFORT...COASTAL COLLETON
AND COASTAL JASPER.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND BERKELEY...CHARLESTON AND
TIDAL BERKELEY...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL
A CONCERN.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS OF SOUTH OF I-16 IN
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.5N...LONGITUDE 78.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 160 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SC...OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF SAVANNAH GA. STORM MOTION WAS WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
THIS MORNING...AND IS EXPECTED TURN MORE WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON.
BERYL IS STILL EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND THE GEORGIA-
FLORIDA BORDER EARLY TONIGHT. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE STRENGTH OF THE
STORM IS EXPECTED UNTIL TIME OF LANDFALL.

ACROSS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE THROUGH THIS MORNING...WITH TROPICAL STORM


THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES THROUGH
TONIGHT. BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY...WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT
EROSION OCCURRING AROUND HIGH TIDE SOUTH OF SAVANNAH.

THE INLAND FLOODING THREAT IS LOW THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...
SINCE BERYL IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AFTER MAKING LANDFALL TONIGHT
AND MONDAY...AN EXTENDED THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH TUESDAY...WHICH IS
WHERE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

SCZ045-050-052-281115-
/O.CON.KCHS.HU.S.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND BERKELEY-CHARLESTON-TIDAL BERKELEY-
705 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDE IMPACTS WILL BE LOW. THE MAIN ISSUE ALONG THE COAST
WILL BE SOME BEACH EROSION DUE TO HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES AND
INCREASINGLY ROUGH SURF THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY MONDAY WITH UP TO 1/2 FOOT OF WATER ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOW LYING...POORLY DRAINED AREAS. NO
SIGNIFICANT INUNDATION OF COASTAL RESIDENCES AND BUSINESSES IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

SCZ047>049-051-281115-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-COASTAL JASPER-
705 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 49 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE INCREASING TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 35 TO 40 MPH.
THE HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE MAY BE SOME MINOR IMPACTS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.
THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE SOME BEACH EROSION FROM A COMBINATION OF
HIGHER TIDES AND ROUGH SURF...ALONG WITH SOME WATER POSSIBLY ON
SMALL BEACH ACCESS ROADS. UP TO 1/2 TO 1 FOOT OF WATER ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE HIGH TIDE TONIGHT...BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT INUNDATION OF COASTAL RESIDENCES AND BUSINESSES IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...INLAND FLOODING...
NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...ONCE BERYL MAKES LANDFALL WELL SOUTH OF THE
REGION...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE STORM MAY STALL THROUGH
MUCH OF MONDAY. THIS MAY RESULT IN THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY. SOME MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING...POORLY DRAINED AREAS MAY RESULT.

...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A VERY SMALL THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT AS RAINBANDS FROM BERYL APPROACH THE AREA.

$$

GAZ116>119-137>141-281115-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
705 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 67 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
NORTH EAST WINDS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO
55 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY
AS LATER THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS SOUTH
OF SAVANNAH. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS
GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND.
NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT
SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW. UP TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF
WATER ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING HIGH TIDE LATE
TONIGHT...BUT IMPACTS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO SHORELINE. A FEW
COASTAL ROADS MAY HAVE SOME WATER ON THEM AT HIGH TIDES AROUND MID
DAY TODAY AND THEN AGAIN TONIGHT...BUT MAJOR ARTERIES...SUCH AS
ROUTE 80 BETWEEN WILMINGTON ISLAND AND TYBEE ISLAND...ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE ENTIRELY UNDER WATER BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK OF
BERYL. ALSO... SIGNIFICANT INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. FINALLY...BEACH EROSION IS ALSO EXPECTED
DURING HIGH TIDE CYCLES...ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR. NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TODAY. BY TONIGHT...HEAVIER RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. IF BERYL STALLS
OVER NORTH FLORIDA SOUTH GEORGIA FOR PART OF MONDAY...ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY IF BERYL STALLS FOR
A PERIOD ON MONDAY. THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW
LYING...POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

...TORNADOES...
AS BERYL APPROACHES THE REGION THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
WILL INCREASE. THE HIGHEST THREAT PERIOD WILL BE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO EARLY TONIGHT WITH ANY RAINBANDS THAT MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION.

$$

AMZ350-352-281115-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
705 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE INCREASING RAPIDLY TODAY AS BERYL
APPROACHES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25
TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BE BUILDING TO
8 TO 12 FEET THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY
AS RAINBANDS FROM BERYL MOVE INTO THE AREA. THE THREAT IS EXPECTED
TO DISSIPATE BY LATER TONIGHT.

$$

AMZ354-374-281115-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
705 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE RAPIDLY TODAY AS
BERYL CONTINUES TO APPROACH. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO
40 KNOTS AND GUSTS 45 TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 16 TO 20
FEET BEYOND 20 NM OFFSHORE AND 10 TO 13 FEET CLOSER TO THE COAST.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY
AS RAINBANDS FROM BERYL MOVE INTO THE AREA. THE THREAT IS EXPECTED
TO DISSIPATE BY LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

$$





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