[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Sat May 26 23:25:10 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KCHS 270424
HLSCHS

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1224 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...BERYL MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES CANCELLED FOR CHARLESTON AND BERKELEY
COUNTIES AND CHARLESTON HARBOR. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND BRYAN...COASTAL BRYAN...INLAND CHATHAM...COASTAL CHATHAM...
LONG...INLAND LIBERTY...COASTAL LIBERTY...INLAND MCINTOSH...
COASTAL MCINTOSH...INLAND JASPER...BEAUFORT...COASTAL COLLETON
AND COASTAL JASPER.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES ARE NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND BERKELEY...CHARLESTON AND TIDAL
BERKELEY.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.8N...LONGITUDE 77.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 210 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SC...OR ABOUT 240 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
SAVANNAH GA. STORM MOTION WAS SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 7 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY
SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN TURN WESTWARD BEFORE LANDFALL
NEAR THE BORDER OF GEORGIA AND FLORIDA SUNDAY NIGHT. SINCE THE
SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING DRY AIR AND IS STILL INTERACTING WITH LOW
PRESSURE IN THE MID AND UPPER ATMOSPHERE...LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE BERYL REACHES THE COAST NEAR
JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA SUNDAY NIGHT.

AS THE STORM GETS CLOSER OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY...WINDS WILL
INCREASE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. WINDS AND/OR WIND
GUSTS OF TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH SHOULD BEGIN IN THE WATERS 20 TO
60 NM OFF THE GEORGIA COAST AND THE WATERS NEAR 20 NM OFF THE
SOUTH CAROLINA COAST JUST AFTER DAYBREAK SUNDAY AND THEN SPREAD
SOUTHWESTWARD...REACHING THE WARNED AREAS FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH TO
THE ALTAMAHA SOUND BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON SUNDAY. AT THIS
TIME...ONLY MINOR WIND IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH SOME DOWNED
TREES OR TREE LIMBS AND ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE DURING THE
HEIGHT OF THE STORM...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER. WIDESPREAD
WIND DAMAGE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

THE INLAND FLOODING THREAT IS LOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER...DUE TO THE EXPECTED SLOW TRACK OF BERYL OR ITS REMNANTS
AFTER LANDFALL...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGHOUT SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. EVEN THOUGH SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE...WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE
DRY CONDITIONS THAT CURRENTLY EXIST IN THE AREA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

FOR THOSE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...KEEP AWARE OF THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF FLOOD WARNINGS ARE
EVENTUALLY ISSUED EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR YOU LOCATION.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 3 AM...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

SCZ045-050-052-280430-
/O.CAN.KCHS.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KCHS.HU.S.1002.120527T0424Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND BERKELEY-CHARLESTON-TIDAL BERKELEY-
1224 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CANCELLED...


$$

SCZ047>049-051-280430-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-COASTAL JASPER-
1224 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 46 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE MAY BE SOME MINOR IMPACTS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDES SUNDAY
NIGHT. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE SOME BEACH EROSION FROM A
COMBINATION OF HIGHER TIDES AND ROUGH SURF...ALONG WITH SOME WATER
POSSIBLY ON SMALL BEACH ACCESS ROADS. NO SIGNIFICANT INUNDATION OF
COASTAL RESIDENCES AND BUSINESSES IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

GAZ116>119-137>141-280430-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
1224 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 61 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME...STORM TIDE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW. TIDES
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE SUNDAY...BUT SINCE WE ARE AT A RELATIVE LOW POINT IN
THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE CYCLE...IMPACTS SHOULD BE RELEGATED TO
SHORELINE AND BEACH EROSION. A FEW COASTAL ROADS MAY HAVE SOME
WATER ON THEM AT HIGH TIDES AROUND MID DAY SUNDAY AND AGAIN
SUNDAY NIGHT AS WATER LEVELS AT THE SHORE PRODUCE 1 TO 2 FEET OF
INUNDATION...BUT MAJOR ARTERIES...SUCH AS ROUTE 80 BETWEEN
WILMINGTON ISLAND AND TYBEE ISLAND...ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
ENTIRELY UNDER WATER BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK OF BERYL. ALSO...
SIGNIFICANT INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN
BANDS MOVING ONSHORE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TRACK OF BERYL.

$$

AMZ350-352-280430-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
1224 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 TO 10 FEET OVERNIGHT...BEFORE
SLOWLY SUBSIDING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

AMZ354-374-280430-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1224 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BE INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 FEET WITHIN 20 MILES
OF THE COAST AND 12 TO 18 FEET FROM 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE ON
SUNDAY.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN
BANDS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TRACK OF BERYL.

$$

AMZ330-270530-
/O.CAN.KCHS.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
1224 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

$$

MTE





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