[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Sat May 26 20:15:11 CDT 2012

WTUS82 KJAX 270114
HLSJAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
914 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT BERYL IS A LITTLE STRONGER...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BAKER...CLAY AND PUTNAM
COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW IN
EFFECT FOR WAYNE...BRANTLEY AND CHARLTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
BAKER...NASSAU...DUVAL...CLAY...ST JOHNS...PUTNAM...FLAGLER...
WAYNE...BRANTLEY...INLAND GLYNN...COASTAL GLYNN...CHARLTON...
INLAND CAMDEN AND COASTAL CAMDEN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
UNION...BRADFORD...BACON...APPLING...WARE...PIERCE AND CLINCH.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...
GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...MARION...COFFEE...JEFF DAVIS...ATKINSON AND
ECHOLS...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A
CONCERN.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.1N...LONGITUDE 76.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 270 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FL...OR ABOUT 260 MILES EAST OF
BRUNSWICK GA. STORM MOTION WAS SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 6 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
SUB-TROPICAL STORM BERYL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWEST AND ON
THIS TRACK WOULD APPROACH THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA COAST SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS AND RAIN WILL INCREASE ACROSS
THE WARNING AREA BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE AROUND 12 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ153-154-165-166-271800-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
914 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. THOSE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
PERIODS OF FLOODING RAINFALL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 69 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY MIDDAY SUNDAY ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO
45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS AROUND 55 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO SOME MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE
OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES
WILL BE SNAPPED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. STORM TIDE
VALUES WILL BE HIGHEST NEAR AND NORTH OF THE CENTER OF STORM
LANDFALL.

THE NEXT TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT SAINT SIMONS ISLAND WILL BE TONIGHT
AT 1:14 AM. THE TIME OF THE HIGH TIDE AT MAYPORT WILL BE AT
12:51 AM TONIGHT.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST COASTAL
FLOODING INCLUDE WILL BE ALONG THE BEACHES AND INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAYS AS WELL AS ESTUARIES AND INLETS. ELEVATED WATER LEVELS
WILL BEGIN SUNDAY AND CONTINUE MONDAY.

MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH WILL BECOME SUBSTANTIAL
IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SEVERAL ROADS
IN FLOOD- PRONE AREAS MAY BE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. IN
ADDITION...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED SURF CONDITION WILL
CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF
3 TO 6 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS. RAINBANDS
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO THE
STORM SLOWING DOWN ONCE IT MAKES LANDFALL AND STALLING OVER THE
AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
STATE ROAD 16 IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AS WELL AS ALL OF SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA.

...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS AND TORNADOES SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AS RAINBANDS MOVE INLAND.

$$

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-271800-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
914 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO
7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 78 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS. SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET NEARSHORE...AND 14 TO 22 FEET
OFFSHORE WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...WATERSPOUTS...
THERE WILL BE A LOW CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT AS RAINBANDS MOVE INLAND.

$$

FLZ023-032-037-GAZ136-152-164-271800-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BAKER-CLAY-PUTNAM-WAYNE-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-
914 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 63 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE
HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE
CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF 3 TO
5 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS. RAINBANDS WILL BEGIN
TO MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO THE STORM SLOWING DOWN
ONCE IT MAKES LANDFALL AND STALLING OVER THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF STATE ROAD 16 IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AS WELL AS ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION.

$$

FLZ030-031-GAZ134-135-150-151-163-271800-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UNION-BRADFORD-BACON-APPLING-WARE-PIERCE-CLINCH-
914 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE
BLOWN AROUND. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCALLY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS. THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF PERIODS OF FLOODING RAINFALL SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 59 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST
IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF
3 TO 5 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS. RAINBANDS
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO THE
STORM SLOWING DOWN ONCE IT MAKES LANDFALL AND STALLING OVER THE
AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
STATE ROAD 16 IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AS WELL AS ALL OF SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA.

$$

FLZ020>022-035-036-040-GAZ132-133-149-162-271800-
/O.CON.KJAX.HU.S.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-ATKINSON-ECHOLS-
914 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF PERIODS OF FLOODING RAINFALL SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS OPPORTUNITY TO REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A PLAN...MAKE ONE. IF YOU NEED
ASSISTANCE WITH YOUR PLAN...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR AMERICAN RED CROSS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED.

WINDS WILL NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF
2 TO 4 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS. RAINBANDS
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO THE
STORM SLOWING DOWN ONCE IT MAKES LANDFALL AND STALLING OVER THE
AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
STATE ROAD 16 IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AS WELL AS ALL OF SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA.

$$

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