[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat May 26 11:15:02 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KCHS 261614
HLSCHS

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1214 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL MOVING SOUTHWEST OVER THE ATLANTIC...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND BRYAN...COASTAL BRYAN...INLAND CHATHAM...COASTAL CHATHAM...
LONG...INLAND LIBERTY...COASTAL LIBERTY...INLAND MCINTOSH...
COASTAL MCINTOSH...INLAND JASPER...BEAUFORT...COASTAL COLLETON
AND COASTAL JASPER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND BERKELEY...CHARLESTON AND TIDAL BERKELEY.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
CHARLESTON HARBOR.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 12 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6N...LONGITUDE 76.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 230 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SC...OR ABOUT 280 MILES EAST OF
SAVANNAH GA. STORM MOTION WAS SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 9 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
SUBTROPICAL BERYL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD
THROUGH SUNDAY...POTENTIALLY MAKING LANDFALL NEAR THE BORDER OF
GEORGIA AND FLORIDA SUNDAY NIGHT. SINCE THE SYSTEM IN ENCOUNTERING
DRY AIR AND IS STILL INTERACTING WITH LOW PRESSURE IN THE MID AND
UPPER ATMOSPHERE...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED INTO
EARLY TONIGHT. THE BIGGEST IMPACTS FOR THE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO
BE FROM WIND GUSTS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
COASTAL AREAS FROM SOUTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO THE ALTAMAHA RIVER
REGION...AND ALSO HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. IN
ADDITION...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND SOME BEACH EROSION WILL BE
POSSIBLE MAINLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 300 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

SCZ045-050-052-262300-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND BERKELEY-CHARLESTON-TIDAL BERKELEY-
1214 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 43 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST
IS FOR WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTO EARLY MONDAY.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES FOR
TODAY. THE RISK FOR MORE POWERFUL AND FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS WILL
INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS BERYL DRAWS CLOSER TO THE
REGION AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS BUILD.

$$

SCZ047>049-051-262300-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-COASTAL JASPER-
1214 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
37 TO 47 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 30 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 40 MPH...MAINLY SUNDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE A STORM TIDE WITH PEAK INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY DURING TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST COASTAL
FLOODING INCLUDE WILL BE ALONG THE BEACHES AND INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAYS AS WELL AS ESTUARIES AND INLETS.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTO EARLY MONDAY.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES FOR
TODAY. THE RISK FOR MORE POWERFUL AND FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS WILL
INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS BERYL DRAWS CLOSER TO THE
REGION AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS BUILD.

$$

GAZ116>119-137>141-262300-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
1214 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 53 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 45 MPH. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES.
RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY
PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED
PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE A STORM TIDE WITH PEAK INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST COASTAL
FLOODING INCLUDE WILL BE ALONG THE BEACHES AND INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAYS AS WELL AS ESTUARIES AND INLETS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY MAY LEAD TO ISOLATED FLOODING. FLOODING IS MOST
LIKELY IF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS NEAR THE COAST DURING HIGH TIDE.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTO EARLY MONDAY.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES FOR
TODAY. THE RISK FOR MORE POWERFUL AND FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS WILL
INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS BERYL DRAWS CLOSER TO THE
REGION AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS BUILD.

$$

AMZ330-262300-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
1214 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
40 TO 41 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE. HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTO EARLY MONDAY.

$$

AMZ350-352-262300-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
1214 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 53 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS...MAINLY SUNDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD AS HIGH AS
7 TO 9 FEET SUNDAY AND INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTO EARLY MONDAY.

$$

AMZ354-374-262300-
/O.CON.KCHS.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT
20 NM...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1214 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 61 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO AS HIGH AS 12 TO 19 FEET SUNDAY AND
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT BEYOND 20 NM OFF THE COAST AND UP TO 7 TO
11 FEET WITHIN 20 NM OF THE COAST.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTO EARLY MONDAY.

$$






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