[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat May 26 00:35:59 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KJAX 260535
HLSJAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
135 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BAKER...UNION...
BRADFORD...CLAY...PUTNAM...WARE...BRANTLEY AND CHARLTON.
THIS STATEMENT ALSO INCLUDES NEW IMPACT INFORMATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
NASSAU...DUVAL...ST JOHNS...FLAGLER...INLAND GLYNN...COASTAL
GLYNN...INLAND CAMDEN AND COASTAL CAMDEN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
BAKER...UNION...BRADFORD...CLAY...PUTNAM...WARE...BRANTLEY AND
CHARLTON.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...
GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...MARION...WAYNE...PIERCE...ECHOLS AND
CLINCH...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A
CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT FRIDAY...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.5N...LONGITUDE 74.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 420
MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH OR
10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST
AND THEN WEST OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM WILL POSE A WIND AND
POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN THREAT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF PROPERTY.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE AROUND 6 AM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ153-154-165-166-270545-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
135 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE
LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 51 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS AROUND
55 MPH. MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE WILL BE ALONG THE BEACHES AND INTRACOASTAL WATERWAYS AS
WELL AS ESTUARIES AND INLETS. THIS MAY BEGIN BY EARLY SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.

MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH MAY BECOME SUBSTANTIAL
IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SEVERAL ROADS IN
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS MAY BE CLOSED. IN ADDITION...STRONG RIP CURRENTS
AND ELEVATED SURF CONDITION WILL BE LIKELY OCCUR SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THESE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF 2
TO 4 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS.

$$

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-270545-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.W.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
135 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 60 PERCENT. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS. SEAS AROUND 12 TO 18 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

FLZ023-030>032-037-GAZ150-152-164-270545-
/O.NEW.KJAX.TR.A.1002.120526T0535Z-000000T0000Z/
BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-PUTNAM-WARE-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-
135 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

$$

FLZ020>022-035-036-040-GAZ136-151-162-163-270545-
/O.NEW.KJAX.HU.S.1002.120526T0535Z-000000T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-MARION-WAYNE-PIERCE-
ECHOLS-CLINCH-
135 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS OPPORTUNITY TO REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A PLAN...MAKE ONE. IF YOU NEED
ASSISTANCE WITH YOUR PLAN...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR AMERICAN RED CROSS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN EFFECT...NOR
ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THESE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF 2
TO 4 INCHES...POSSIBLY HIGHER IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS.

$$



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