[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jun 26 05:37:29 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KTBW 261037
HLSTBW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
637 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...DEBBY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT FLOOD THREAT THE
NEXT FEW DAYS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION BASED ON LATEST ADVISORY AND INCREASED
TORNADO THREAT FOR DAYTIME HOURS TODAY.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF FLORIDA WEST WEST COAST AND
THE GULF OF MEXICO.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
LEVY...CITRUS...HERNANDO...PASCO...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...
MANATEE AND SARASOTA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF FLORIDA WEST COAST AND THE GULF OF MEXICO.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT
BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0N...LONGITUDE 84.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 90 MILES WEST OF
CEDAR KEY FL...OR ABOUT 140 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY
FL. STORM MOTION WAS E OR 90 DEGREES AT 3 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY IS FORECAST DRIFT TOWARD EAST NORTHEAST OR
EAST NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE PRIMARY THREATS
FROM TROPICAL STORM DEBBY AT THIS TIME ARE INLAND FLOODING FROM
HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES. MINOR TO
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY DURING TIMES
OF HIGH TIDES WITH FLOODING IMPACTING SOME OF THE LOWEST LYING
COASTAL COMMUNITIES ALONG THE NATURE COAST. BECAUSE TROPICAL STORM
DEBBY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SO SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...A
PROLONGED SIGNIFICANT FLOOD EVENT REMAINS LIKELY.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT
VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY
LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY...AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY.

HAVE A WELL-CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK
COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY RUSKIN AROUND 12 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GMZ830-850-853-870-873-271045-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
637 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD ALREADY BE IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. CAPTAINS
OF SMALL CRAFT AND THEIR CREWS SHOULD ALREADY BE SAFELY WITHIN
LAND BASED SHELTERS.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DEBBY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED WITH SEAS REMAINING 10 TO 14 FEET.
WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE UNTIL
THURSDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS MAY INCREASE AGAIN LATER
TODAY WITH SOME ATMOSPHERIC HEATING AND AS MORE ORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND STORMS DEVELOP.

$$

FLZ039-042-048>051-055-060-271045-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA-
637 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SOON OCCUR. ANY EVACUEES SHOULD
REMAIN IN THEIR DESIGNATED SHELTER. EVERYONE SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT...USE EXTRA CAUTION...AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD OR
TORNADO WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR. SOME AREAS HAVE ALREADY SEEN 10 TO 15 INCHES OF
RAIN...AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY. GIVEN A SLIGHTLY
FASTER EXPECTED STORM MOTION CURRENT RAINFALL FORECAST HAVE
SLIGHTLY DECREASED...HOWEVER RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD...WITH 2 TO 4 INCH
TOTALS FURTHER SOUTH. GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL THAT HAS
ALREADY OCCURRED...THESE TOTALS WILL STILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION AND WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER
FLOODING AS WELL.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS OF UP TO 3 TO 5
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL HAVE OCCURRED DURING HIGH TIDE FOR
HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES THE LAST FEW DAYS...WITH WATER
REACHING 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FOR AREAS FROM PASCO
COUNTY SOUTH THROUGH SARASOTA COUNTY. WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO
FLUCTUATE NEAR THESE LEVELS AT LEAST THROUGH TODAY WITH HIGH TIDE
OCCURRING LATER THIS MORNING.

THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A LOW BUT NOTABLE IMPACT. THE
CONCERN IS FOR THE CHANCE OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR IN
AREAS WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN SHALLOW INUNDATION. IF
REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO FAILED TO ACT
ACCORDING TO THEIR PERSONAL DISASTER PLAN WILL HAVE NEEDLESSLY
PLACED THEMSELVES AT SOME MEASURE OF RISK.

MANY HOMES AND BUSINESSES ALONG THE SHORELINE...OR IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS...WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE SOME WATER ENTERING INSIDE...
ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE STRUCTURES NOT RAISED OR PROTECTED BY A
SEAWALL. HIGHER WAVES AND POUNDING SURF WILL INCREASE THE
LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE NEAR THE COAST...ESPECIALLY IN
EXPOSED LOCATIONS. SOME CARS MAY TAKE ON WATER OR EVEN BECOME
DISPLACED.

MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH MAY BECOME SUBSTANTIAL
IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SEVERAL ROADS
IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED.

...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES MAY INCREASE AGAIN LATER TODAY WITH SOME
ATMOSPHERIC HEATING AND AS MORE ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND STORMS
DEVELOP.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DEBBY APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT. MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE ESPECIALLY GUSTY IN
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS. GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH MAY OCCUR IN HEAVIER
DOWNPOURS. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE UNTIL SOME TIME THIS AFTERNOON. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO
OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS
INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS THEY
WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY
BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

$$

MJG




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