[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 250443
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1143 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST AS DEBBY SLOWLY MOVES NORTHWARD...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY NOW FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER
THE NEXT FIVE DAYS...POSSIBLY MAKING LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ALONG THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON THURSDAY.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO
PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM AND MOBILE BAY.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
UPPER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...
INLAND ESCAMBIA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...COASTAL
SANTA ROSA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM AND MOBILE BAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT
MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.3N...LONGITUDE 85.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 170 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AS TROPICAL STORM DEBBY MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...THE
MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE INUNDATION (I.E., ASTRONOMICAL PLUS STORM SURGE EFFECTS) OF
2 TO 4 FEET AND THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINBANDS OVER THE COASTAL
COUNTIES AND TROPICAL STORM WINDS WITH SEAS UP TO 14 FEET OVER THE
MARINE WATERS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BECOME A CONCERN OVER PRIMARILY THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS DEBBY
CONTINUES A SLOW DRIFT NORTH AND THE CORE MOVES CLOSER TO LAND. DEBBY
IS BEING CLOSELY MONITORED FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINBANDS LATER TONIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE
TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS
FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 130 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ001>006-260445-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
1143 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 66 PERCENT. THIS IS A NEAR STEADY TREND.
&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM DEBBY APPROACHES THE COAST...MAIN COASTAL FLOODING IMPACTS
WILL BE INUNDATION (I.E., ASTRONOMICAL PLUS STORM SURGE EFFECTS) OF 2
TO 4 FEET FOR SOME COASTAL AREAS...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO DEBBY'S
CENTER. THE TIME PERIOD OF GREATEST IMPACT WILL BE MONDAY AND INTO
TUESDAY. REMEMBER SURGE WATERS OFTEN ARRIVE WELL BEFORE THE CORE
WINDS.

LARGE WAVES AND POUNDING SURF CAUSING SIGNIFICANT WAVE RUNUP WILL
ACCENTUATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS. FLOOD WATERS MAY
EXTEND INLAND IN SOME SPOTS. SUBSTANTIAL BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR.
MANY ROADS COULD BE DAMAGED OR INUNDATED BY THE FLOOD WATERS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAIN BANDS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...AND POSSIBLY AS FAR WEST AS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY MIDDAY MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HEAVY
RAIN POTENTIAL CONTINUING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE
ALONG THE COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WHERE THREE TO SIX
INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...WITH THE
HIGHEST TOTALS LIKELY TO FALL IN SOUTHERN OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA
COUNTIES. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE...DEPENDING ON EXACTLY
WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS BECOME ESTABLISHED. THE HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AS HEAVY RAINS FALL
ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
BEACHES THROUGH MIDWEEK DUE TO HIGH WINDS AND WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE
LIFE- THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...AND SWIMMERS SHOULD
NOT ENTER THE WATER UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

$$

ALZ061>064-260445-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
1143 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 60 PERCENT. THIS IS A NEAR STEADY TREND.
&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM DEBBY APPROACHES THE COAST...MAIN COASTAL FLOODING IMPACTS
WILL BE INUNDATION (I.E., ASTRONOMICAL PLUS STORM SURGE EFFECTS) OF 2
TO 4 FEET FOR SOME COASTAL AREAS...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO DEBBY'S
CENTER. THE TIME PERIOD OF GREATEST IMPACT WILL BE MONDAY AND INTO
TUESDAY. REMEMBER SURGE WATERS OFTEN ARRIVE WELL BEFORE THE CORE
WINDS.

LARGE WAVES AND POUNDING SURF CAUSING SIGNIFICANT WAVE RUNUP WILL
ACCENTUATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS. FLOOD WATERS MAY
EXTEND INLAND IN SOME SPOTS. SUBSTANTIAL BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR.
MANY ROADS COULD BE DAMAGED OR INUNDATED BY THE FLOOD WATERS.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
BEACHES THROUGH MIDWEEK DUE TO HIGH WINDS AND WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE
LIFE- THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...AND SWIMMERS SHOULD
NOT ENTER THE WATER UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

$$

GMZ630-260445-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
1143 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 59 PERCENT. THIS IS A NEAR STEADY TREND.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 KNOTS OVER THE
NEXT TWO DAYS. BAY WATERS ROUGH.

$$

GMZ650-655-670-675-260445-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1143 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO
10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 87 PERCENT. THIS IS A NEAR STEADY TREND.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE EAST OF PENSACOLA AND
WELL OFFSHORE. AS DEBBY SLOWLY DRIFTS FURTHER NORTHWARD AND CONTINUES
TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN THIS CONDITION WILL BE MAINTAINED AND PERHAPS
SPREAD WEST OF PENSACOLA. THIS MAY ENDURE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45
KNOTS.

$$




This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net