[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 28 23:17:54 CDT 2012
WTUS84 KLCH 290417
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST...
.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FOR WEST CAMERON HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED IN
AREA TO INCLUDE BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU AND VERNON PARISHES.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...
IBERIA...ST. MARY AND LOWER ST. MARTIN.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...WEST CAMERON.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...
ST. LANDRY...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA AND EAST
CAMERON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND
BAYS.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND
BAYS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
JEFFERSON...ORANGE.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY
FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0N...LONGITUDE 89.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 220 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMERON LA...OR ABOUT 100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF MORGAN CITY LA. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
TO DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU
ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. THE CENTER OF ISAAC IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WHILE SLOWLY
STRENGTHENING BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF
LOUISIANA THIS EVENING. IMPACTS FROM ISAAC EXTEND OUTWARD AND AWAY
FROM THE CENTER. CURRENTLY THE FORECAST IMPACTS CONTAIN SUSTAINED
WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST...AND
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF LOUISIANA WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.
FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.
FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES AROUND 6 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
LAZ052>055-300430-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST SCHOOLS ARE REPORTED TO BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY. FOR MORE
DETAILED INFORMATION ON SCHOOL CLOSURES AND OTHER LOCAL
GOVERNMENT CLOSURES REFER TO INFORMATION FROM LOCAL SCHOOL AND
GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 98 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS COMBINED WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
INCREASING TIDES LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MAY PRODUCE FLOODING
ALONG BAYOUS AND LOW-LYING AREAS.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH.
MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES WILL BE 2 TO 4 FEET BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO
OFFSHORE WIND FLOW. AS HURRICANE ISAAC MOVES INLAND AND WINDS
SWITCH TO THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...THERE IS A CHANCE
FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 2 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE THE EASTERN SIDE OF VERMILION AND ATCHAFALAYA BAYS...
INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE BURNS POINT AND CYPREMORT POINT
AREAS. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE THE EASTERN SIDE OF VERMILION AND ATCHAFALAYA BAYS...
INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE BURNS POINT AND CYPREMORT POINT
AREAS. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE THURSDAY.
MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH MAY BECOME SUBSTANTIAL
IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SOME ROADS IN
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
$$
LAZ044-045-300430-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST SCHOOLS ARE REPORTED TO BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY. FOR MORE
DETAILED INFORMATION ON SCHOOL CLOSURES AND OTHER LOCAL
GOVERNMENT CLOSURES REFER TO INFORMATION FROM LOCAL SCHOOL AND
GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 93 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 14 ARE POSSIBLE. THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS... ESPECIALLY IF THEY OCCUR IN A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME...WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
60 MPH.
MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE
HOMES... ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR
CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE
AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND
SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND
MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED
DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES LATE TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.
$$
LAZ028-029-032-033-043-300430-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-ACADIA-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST SCHOOLS ARE REPORTED TO BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY. FOR MORE
DETAILED INFORMATION ON SCHOOL CLOSURES AND OTHER LOCAL
GOVERNMENT CLOSURES REFER TO INFORMATION FROM LOCAL SCHOOL AND
GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 86 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.
...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS... ESPECIALLY IF THEY OCCUR IN A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME...WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES ON WEDNESDAY.
$$
LAZ073-300430-
/O.UPG.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WEST CAMERON-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
$$
LAZ074-300430-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EAST CAMERON-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
CAMERON PARISH SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY.
THE CAMERON PARISH OFFICE OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND EMERGENCY
PREPAREDNESS IS ADVISING RESIDENTS WHO LIVE IN CAMPERS AND DO NOT
FEEL SAFE TO RELOCATE TO A STURDY STRUCTURE. THIS IS NOT AN
EVACUATION NOTICE.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 59 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO
OFFSHORE WIND FLOW. AS ISAAC MOVES INLAND AND WINDS SWITCH TO THE
SOUTH ON THURSDAY...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN
AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD
INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
SURGE ZONE.
$$
LAZ027-030-031-041-042-300430-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERNON-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST SCHOOLS ARE REPORTED TO BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY. FOR MORE
DETAILED INFORMATION ON SCHOOL CLOSURES AND OTHER LOCAL
GOVERNMENT CLOSURES REFER TO INFORMATION FROM LOCAL SCHOOL AND
GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 60 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.
...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. IF
THIS RAINFALL IS REALIZED IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...THERE IS A
RISK FOR FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...
STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR ANY CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
$$
TXZ215-216-300430-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 23 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES WILL BE AROUND 1 FOOT BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO
OFFSHORE WIND FLOW. AS ISAAC MOVES INLAND AND WINDS SWITCH TO THE
SOUTH ON THURSDAY...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS OF AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD
INUNDATION OF 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE
ZONE.
$$
GMZ455-475-300430-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 97 PERCENT.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS.
SEAS WILL BE 5 TO 7 FEET NEAR SHORE WITH 10 TO 15 FOOT SEAS BEYOND
20 NM.
$$
GMZ435-300430-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERMILION BAY-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 93 PERCENT.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 KNOTS. BAY WATERS WILL BE VERY ROUGH.
$$
GMZ452-472-300430-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 72 PERCENT.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BE 5 TO 7 FEET NEAR SHORE WITH 8 TO 12 FEET
BEYOND 20 NM.
$$
GMZ432-300430-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CALCASIEU LAKE-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
28 TO 34 PERCENT.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. LAKE WATERS WILL BE VERY ROUGH.
$$
GMZ450-470-300430-
/O.UPG.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
$$
GMZ430-300430-
/O.UPG.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SABINE LAKE-
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
$$
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