[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 28 20:03:24 CDT 2012
WTUS84 KLCH 290102
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...HURRICANE ISAAC ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST NEAR THE
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED LOCATION OF THE HURRICANE.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...
IBERIA...ST. MARY AND LOWER ST. MARTIN.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...
ST. LANDRY...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA AND EAST
CAMERON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND
BAYS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
WEST CAMERON...JEFFERSON AND ORANGE.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND
BAYS.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY
FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.9N...LONGITUDE 89.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 250 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMERON LA...OR ABOUT 130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF MORGAN CITY LA. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
TO DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU
ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. THE CENTER OF ISAAC IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WHILE SLOWLY
STRENGTHENING BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF
LOUISIANA THIS EVENING. IMPACTS FROM ISAAC EXTEND OUTWARD AND AWAY
FROM THE CENTER. CURRENTLY THE FORECAST IMPACTS CONTAIN SUSTAINED
WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST...AND
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF LOUISIANA WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.
FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.
FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES AROUND 11:30 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
LAZ052>055-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST SCHOOLS ARE REPORTED TO BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY. FOR MORE
DETAILED INFORMATION ON SCHOOL CLOSURES AND OTHER LOCAL GOVERNMENT
CLOSURES REFER TO INFORMATION FROM LOCAL SCHOOL AND GOVERNMENT
OFFICIALS.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 98 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 12 INCHES IS POSSIBLE. THIS COMBINED WITH HIGH
TIDES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MAY PRODUCE SOME FLOODING.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING...AND FURTHER INCREASE
ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO
45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH.
MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND
PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING
DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND
SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES WILL BE 2 TO 4 FEET BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO
OFFSHORE WIND FLOW. AS ISAAC MOVES INLAND AND WINDS SWITCH TO THE
SOUTH ON THURSDAY...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE
AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD
INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE THE EASTERN SIDE OF VERMILION AND ATCHAFALAYA BAYS...
INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE BURNS POINT AND CYPREMORT POINT
AREAS. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE THURSDAY.
MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH MAY BECOME SUBSTANTIAL
IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SOME ROADS IN
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
$$
LAZ044-045-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST SCHOOLS ARE REPORTED TO BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY. FOR MORE
DETAILED INFORMATION ON SCHOOL CLOSURES AND OTHER LOCAL GOVERNMENT
CLOSURES REFER TO INFORMATION FROM LOCAL SCHOOL AND GOVERNMENT
OFFICIALS.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 93 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
ESPECIALLY IF THEY OCCUR IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...WILL LIKELY
CAUSE FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
70 MPH.
MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND
PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING
DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND
SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES LATE TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.
$$
LAZ028-029-032-033-043-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-ACADIA-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST SCHOOLS ARE REPORTED TO BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY. FOR MORE
DETAILED INFORMATION ON SCHOOL CLOSURES AND OTHER LOCAL GOVERNMENT
CLOSURES REFER TO INFORMATION FROM LOCAL SCHOOL AND GOVERNMENT
OFFICIALS.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 86 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND FOR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS ABOVE 12 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
ESPECIALLY IF THEY OCCUR IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...WILL LIKELY
CAUSE FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES ON WEDNESDAY.
$$
LAZ074-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EAST CAMERON-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
CAMERON PARISH SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY.
THE CAMERON PARISH OFFICE OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND EMERGENCY
PREPAREDNESS IS ADVISING RESIDENTS WHO LIVE IN CAMPERS AND DO NOT
FEEL SAFE TO RELOCATE TO A STURDY STRUCTURE. THIS IS NOT AN
EVACUATION NOTICE.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 59 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES. WHILE NOT A SIGNIFICANT THREAT...
SOME MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.
...WINDS...
THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS COULD BE AS EARLY AS
WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO
35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO
OFFSHORE WIND FLOW. AS ISAAC MOVES INLAND AND WINDS SWITCH TO THE
SOUTH ON THURSDAY...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN
AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD
INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
SURGE ZONE.
MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH MAY BECOME SUBSTANTIAL
IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SEVERAL ROADS
IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES ON WEDNESDAY.
$$
LAZ027-030-031-041-042-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERNON-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MOST SCHOOLS ARE REPORTED TO BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY. FOR MORE
DETAILED INFORMATION ON SCHOOL CLOSURES AND OTHER LOCAL GOVERNMENT
CLOSURES REFER TO INFORMATION FROM LOCAL SCHOOL AND GOVERNMENT
OFFICIALS.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 60 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND FOR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED DURING
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25
TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO
OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH
AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN
AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF
NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES. WHILE NOT A SIGNIFICANT THREAT...
SOME MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.
$$
LAZ073-TXZ215-216-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WEST CAMERON-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SCHOOLS WILL CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY IN CAMERON PARISH.
THE CAMERON PARISH OFFICE OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND EMERGENCY
PREPAREDNESS IS ADVISING RESIDENTS WHO LIVE IN CAMPERS AND DO NOT
FEEL SAFE TO RELOCATE TO A STURDY STRUCTURE. THIS IS NOT AN
EVACUATION NOTICE.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 32 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO
REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES WILL BE AROUND 1 FOOT BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO
OFFSHORE WIND FLOW. AS ISAAC MOVES INLAND AND WINDS SWITCH TO THE
SOUTH ON THURSDAY...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS OF AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD
INUNDATION OF 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE
ZONE.
$$
GMZ455-475-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 97 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS.
SEAS WILL BE 5 TO 7 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 10 TO 15 FEET BEYOND 20 NM.
$$
GMZ435-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERMILION BAY-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 93 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45
KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. BAY WATERS WILL BE VERY
ROUGH.
$$
GMZ452-472-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 72 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND FOR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BE 5 TO 7 FEET NEAR SHORE
AND 8 TO 12 FEET BEYOND 20 NM.
$$
GMZ432-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CALCASIEU LAKE-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
28 TO 34 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND FOR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE DURING THE
DAY ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO
30 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. LAKE WATERS WILL BE VERY
ROUGH.
$$
GMZ450-470-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 29 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO
REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. SEAS WILL BE 3 TO 5 FEET NEAR
SHORE AND 5 TO 8 FEET BEYOND 20 NM.
$$
GMZ430-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SABINE LAKE-
802 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
17 TO 21 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO
REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. LAKE WATERS WILL BE ROUGH.
$$
RUA
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