[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 28 11:45:18 CDT 2012
WTUS84 KLCH 281644
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...ISAAC HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE...SIGNIFICANT STORM
SURGE AND FRESHWATER FLOOD THREAT TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
.NEW INFORMATION...
ISAAC HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WITH INTENSITY OF 75 MPH
PER REPORT FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...
IBERIA...ST. MARY AND LOWER ST. MARTIN.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...ST. LANDRY...JEFFERSON
DAVIS...ACADIA AND EAST CAMERON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND
BAYS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
VERNON...BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...WEST CAMERON...JEFFERSON AND
ORANGE.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND
BAYS.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.1N...LONGITUDE 88.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 310 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMERON LA...OR ABOUT 190 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF MORGAN CITY LA. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 70 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO
DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU
ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WHILE SLOWLY STRENGTHENING TO A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST
PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA. CURRENTLY THE FORECAST IMPACTS CONTAIN
SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF LOUISIANA WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A SLIGHT
WOBBLE OR JOG TO THE WEST WOULD BRING HIGHER WINDS WEST AND
THEREFORE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT AS
WELL.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.
FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.
FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES AROUND 5 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
LAZ052>055-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN IBERIA...SCHOOLS WILL LET OUT EARLY TUESDAY AND BE CLOSED ON
WEDNESDAY. SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED IN ST. MARY AND LOWER ST. MARTIN
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. VERMILION PARISH PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED
ON TUESDAY.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 17 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 94 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
75 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE THE EASTERN SIDE OF VERMILION AND ATCHAFALAYA BAYS...
INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE BURNS POINT AND CYPREMORT POINT
AREAS. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.
THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A LOW BUT NOTABLE IMPACT. THE
CONCERN IS FOR THE CHANCE OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR IN
AREAS WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN SHALLOW INUNDATION. IF
REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO FAILED TO ACT
ACCORDING TO THEIR PERSONAL DISASTER PLAN WILL HAVE NEEDLESSLY
PLACED THEMSELVES AT SOME MEASURE OF RISK.
MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH MAY BECOME SUBSTANTIAL
IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SEVERAL ROADS IN
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE. THIS COMBINED WITH HIGH
TIDES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MAY PRODUCE SOME FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
$$
LAZ044-045-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN UPPER ST. MARTIN...SCHOOLS WILL CLOSE AT 1 PM TUESDAY AND
REMAIN CLOSED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAFAYETTE SCHOOLS ARE OPEN BUT
CANCELLING ALL AFTER SCHOOL ACTIVITIES ON TUESDAY. LAFAYETTE
PARISH PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 4 TO
12 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 90 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY
TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 70 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. WHILE NOT A SIGNIFICANT
THREAT...SOME MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
$$
LAZ028-029-031>033-042-043-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
ACADIA-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
JEFFERSON DAVIS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED WEDNESDAY. LOUISIANA
COLLEGE CLOSED THROUGH MONDAY. LSU AT EUNICE WILL CLOSE AT 3 PM ON
TUESDAY AND REMAIN CLOSED WEDNESDAY.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 83 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON.
...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 65 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES. WHILE NOT A SIGNIFICANT THREAT...SOME
MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
$$
LAZ074-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EAST CAMERON-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE CAMERON PARISH OFFICE OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND EMERGENCY
PREPAREDNESS IS ADVISING RESIDENTS WHO LIVE IN CAMPERS AND DO NOT
FEEL SAFE TO RELOCATE TO A STURDY STRUCTURE. THIS IS NOT AN
EVACUATION NOTICE.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 59 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL WEAK UPWARD TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN-OUT AND DROP ABOUT 2 TO 3 FEET BEFORE
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...AT THAT TIME THE TIDES
WILL SWITCH AROUND AND THE COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL
TIDE WATERS COULD RAISE TIDAL LEVELS UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN
WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A LOW BUT NOTABLE IMPACT. THE
CONCERN IS FOR THE CHANCE OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR IN
AREAS WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN SHALLOW INUNDATION. IF
REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO FAILED TO ACT
ACCORDING TO THEIR PERSONAL DISASTER PLAN WILL HAVE NEEDLESSLY
PLACED THEMSELVES AT SOME MEASURE OF RISK.
MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH MAY BECOME SUBSTANTIAL
IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SEVERAL ROADS IN
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES. WHILE NOT A SIGNIFICANT
THREAT...SOME MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES LATE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.
$$
LAZ027-030-041-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERNON-BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 54 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. HOWEVER...A SLIGHT JOG
TO THE WEST MAY PUT SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS INTO THE AREA
FROM LAKE CHARLES TO FORT POLK IN VERNON PARISH.
$$
LAZ073-TXZ215-216-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WEST CAMERON-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE CAMERON PARISH OFFICE OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND EMERGENCY
PREPAREDNESS IS ADVISING RESIDENTS WHO LIVE IN CAMPERS AND DO NOT
FEEL SAFE TO RELOCATE TO A STURDY STRUCTURE. THIS IS NOT AN
EVACUATION NOTICE.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 38 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL ABOUT TWO TO THREE FEET ON NORTH WINDS
TODAY BUT IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS
OF COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
WITHIN THE FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM ISAAC.
MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE
SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST... RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 2 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
$$
GMZ435-455-475-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 92 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 KNOTS. SEAS OF 6 TO 12 FEET ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HIGHEST
SEAS EXPECTED FROM 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE.
...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF WATERSPOUTS LATE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.
$$
GMZ452-472-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 69 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 55 KNOTS. SEAS OF 6 TO 12 FEET ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HIGHEST
SEAS EXPECTED FROM 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE.
...WATERSPOUTS...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF WATERSPOUTS LATE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.
$$
GMZ450-470-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 30 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. SEAS OF 6 TO 12 FEET
ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS EXPECTED FROM 20 TO 60 MILES
OFFSHORE.
...WATERSPOUTS...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF WATERSPOUTS LATE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.
$$
GMZ432-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CALCASIEU LAKE-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
29 TO 34 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. BAY WATERS WILL BE
VERY ROUGH ON THE LAKE.
$$
GMZ430-291645-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SABINE LAKE-
1144 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
22 TO 25 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. BAYS WATERS WILL BE
VERY ROUGH.
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