[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 280740
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
240 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...TROPICAL STORM ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE SOON...

.NEW INFORMATION...TROPICAL STORM ISAAC CONTINUES TO SLOWLY
INTENSIFY AND IS MOVING SLOWER. THE TORNADO THREAT MAY BEGIN TO
INCREASE TOWARDS MIDDAY AS ISAAC'S NORTHEASTERN OUTER RAINBANDS
FURTHER DEVELOP.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO
PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...UPPER
MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...STONE AND
GEORGE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...WASHINGTON...WAYNE...PERRY AND GREENE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND ESCAMBIA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...COASTAL
SANTA ROSA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT
MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4N...LONGITUDE 87.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH OF
MOBILE AL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 70 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
ISAAC IS STILL FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI OR
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. ISAAC WILL IMPACT PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS BEGIN TO IMPACT THESE LOCATIONS. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY THEN
DETERIORATE FURTHER LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY... WHEN HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN A PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...ESPECIALLY IF THE TRACK SHIFTS MORE TOWARD THE EAST. THE
HIGHER WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
COASTAL SECTIONS OF ALABAMA. THE TORNADO THREAT MAY BEGIN TO
INCREASE TOWARDS MIDDAY AS ISAAC'S NORTHEASTERN OUTER RAINBANDS
FURTHER DEVELOP.

STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
COASTAL ALABAMA...INCLUDING MOBILE BAY WITH 3 TO 6 FEET ACROSS
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

RAINFALL...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL ONSET TONIGHT AND
ENDURE THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...WITH LOCAL AREAS RECEIVING AS MUCH AS 15 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FURTHER EAST ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. HIGHER TOTALS
ARE POSSIBLE FURTHER EAST IF THE TRACK OF ISAAC SHIFTS EAST.

THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COAST
LATE TONIGHT...SPREADING NORTH ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF DEADLY RIP CURRENT ALONG AREA BEACHES AS
LARGE BREAKING WAVES INCREASE IN FREQUENCY AND HEIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 6 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ALZ061>064-290745-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
240 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF FLOOD INUNDATION OF 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA AND MOBILE BAY...DUE TO A
STRONG PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED AS ISAAC BEGINS TO SLOW
DOWN NEAR THE COAST. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE
TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST
TRACK. HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR MID TO LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

SOME COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED...WITH THOSE
STRUCTURES NOT RAISED OR PROTECTED BY A SEAWALL BEING SUBJECT TO
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDE. LARGE WAVES
AND POUNDING SURF WILL ACCENTUATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IN EXPOSED
LOCATIONS.

SUBSTANTIAL BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR. MANY ROADS WILL LIKELY BE
DAMAGED OR WASHED OUT BY THE FLOOD WATERS...LEAVING SECTIONS OF
COASTAL COMMUNITIES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS TEMPORARILY CUT OFF.
ROADWAY TRAVEL MAY BE DANGEROUS WITH SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED.
FLOODING OF THE MOBILE BAY CAUSEWAY WILL OCCUR.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO
50 MPH RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE
POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
COAST IF THE TRACK OF ISAAC SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. POORLY
CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF
REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. ANY
LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN
POWER OUTAGES.

$$

MSZ078-079-290745-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
STONE-GEORGE-
240 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO
50 MPH RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE.
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF
ISAAC SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. POORLY
CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF
REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. ANY
LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

$$

ALZ052-MSZ067-075-076-290745-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-
240 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO
50 MPH RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE.
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF
ISAAC SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. POORLY
CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF
REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. ANY
LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN
POWER OUTAGES.

$$

GMZ630-650-670-290745-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
240 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVERNIGHT.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOTS RANGE WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF ISAAC SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS
TO THE EAST.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 30 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY AND CONTINUE
INTO WEDNESDAY.

$$

FLZ001>006-290745-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
240 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF FLOOD INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ACROSS...DUE TO A STRONG PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
EXPECTED AS ISAAC BEGINS TO SLOW DOWN NEAR THE COAST. THE MOST
LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK. HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO
40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
ALONG THE COAST.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND.

$$

GMZ655-675-290745-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
240 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TONIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 30 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY AND CONTINUE
INTO WEDNESDAY

$$




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