[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 272322
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
622 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATES ISAAC GETTING STRONGER...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED INFORMATION FOR WIND...STORM SURGE...INLAND FLOODING...
COASTAL HAZARDS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO
PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...UPPER
MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...STONE AND
GEORGE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...WASHINGTON...WAYNE...PERRY AND GREENE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND ESCAMBIA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...COASTAL
SANTA ROSA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PENSACOLA OUT 60 NM.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY
FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4N...LONGITUDE 86.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 320 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE AL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 70 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC IS BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO AND SHOWING SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. ISAAC IS FORECAST TO MAKE
LANDFALL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI OR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST TUESDAY
NIGHT. ISAAC WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEGIN TO IMPACT THESE
LOCATIONS. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY THEN DETERIORATE FURTHER LATE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WHEN HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN A
PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...ESPECIALLY IF THE TRACK
SHIFTS MORE TOWARD THE EAST. THE HIGHER WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS WILL BE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF ALABAMA.

STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
COASTAL ALABAMA...INCLUDING MOBILE BAY WITH 3 TO 6 FEET ACROSS THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

RAINFALL...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL ONSET TONIGHT AND ENDURE
THROUGH THURSDAY. STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...WITH LOCAL
AREAS RECEIVING AS MUCH AS 15 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ARE EXPECTED FURTHER EAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE FURTHER EAST IF THE
TRACK OF ISAAC SHIFTS EAST.

THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COAST LATE
TONIGHT...SPREADING NORTH ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF DEADLY RIP CURRENT ALONG AREA BEACHES AS
LARGE BREAKING WAVES INCREASE IN FREQUENCY AND HEIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY THIS EVENING. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND MIDNIGHT CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ALZ061>064-282330-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
622 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY
MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST IF THE TRACK OF
ISAAC SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. POORLY
CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF
REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. ANY
LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND
SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF FLOOD INUNDATION OF 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA AND MOBILE BAY...DUE TO A STRONG
PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED AS ISAAC BEGINS TO SLOW DOWN NEAR THE
COAST. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK. HIGH TIDE WILL
OCCUR MID TO LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

SOME COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED...WITH THOSE
STRUCTURES NOT RAISED OR PROTECTED BY A SEAWALL BEING SUBJECT TO
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDE. LARGE WAVES AND
POUNDING SURF WILL ACCENTUATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS.

SUBSTANTIAL BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR. MANY ROADS WILL LIKELY BE
DAMAGED OR WASHED OUT BY THE FLOOD WATERS...LEAVING SECTIONS OF
COASTAL COMMUNITIES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS TEMPORARILY CUT OFF.
ROADWAY TRAVEL MAY BE DANGEROUS WITH SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED.
FLOODING OF THE MOBILE BAY CAUSEWAY WILL OCCUR.

$$

MSZ078-079-282330-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
STONE-GEORGE-
622 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY
MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF ISAAC SIGNIFICANTLY
SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER
HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER
LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME
LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

$$

ALZ052-MSZ067-075-076-282330-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-
622 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY
MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF ISAAC
SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER
HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER
LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME
LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

$$

GMZ630-650-670-282330-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
622 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS
EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOTS RANGE
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF ISAAC
SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 30 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY.

$$

FLZ001>006-282330-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
622 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY
MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COAST.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE
LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS
THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS
MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF FLOOD INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ACROSS...DUE TO A STRONG PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
EXPECTED AS ISAAC BEGINS TO SLOW DOWN NEAR THE COAST. THE MOST LIKELY
PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY BASED ON
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK. HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

$$

GMZ655-675-282330-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
622 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS
EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE
WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 30 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY

$$






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