[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 271700
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1200 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM ISAAC HEADING TOWARDS CENTRAL GULF COAST...

.NEW INFORMATION...
STORM MOTION HAS SHIFTED VERY SLIGHTLY FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO
PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...UPPER
MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...INLAND
ESCAMBIA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...COASTAL SANTA
ROSA...INLAND OKALOOSA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...STONE AND GEORGE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...WASHINGTON...WAYNE...PERRY AND GREENE.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.1N...LONGITUDE 85.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 360 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE AL...OR ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO. ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE AS IT
APPROACHES THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. WHILE THE EXACT
TRACK REMAINS UNCERTAIN...ISAAC WILL LIKELY IMPACT COASTAL PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
BEGIN TO IMPACT THESE LOCATIONS. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY THEN
DETERIORATE FURTHER LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WHEN HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN A PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA...ESPECIALLY
IF THE TRACK SHIFTS MORE TOWARD THE EAST. THE HIGHER WIND SPEEDS AND
GUSTS WILL BE HIGHER ALONG THE COASTAL SECTIONS...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND NEAR THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. RAINFALL...POSSIBLY HEAVY
AT TIMES...WILL ONSET TONIGHT AND ENDURE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH STORM
TOTALS OF BETWEEN 8-12 INCHES EXPECTED...WITH LOCAL AREAS RECEIVING
AS MUCH AS 15 INCHES CLOSER TO THE COAST.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 200 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ALZ061>064-281700-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
1200 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

 ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK OF THE STORM...IT IS STILL TOO
EARLY TO PINPOINT SURGE VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. HOWEVER...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF FLOOD INUNDATION OF 6 TO 12 FEET ABOVE
GROUND...MAINLY DUE TO A STRONG PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THE MOST
LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BASED ON
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE
COAST LATE TONIGHT AND SPREAD INLAND THROUGH TUESDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO TO 70 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER
HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER
LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME
LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

$$

FLZ001>006-281700-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
1200 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK OF THE STORM...IT IS STILL TOO
EARLY TO PINPOINT SURGE VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. HOWEVER...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF FLOOD INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
GROUND WITHIN A PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA...MAINLY DUE TO A STRONG
PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE
COAST LATE TONIGHT AND SPREAD INLAND THROUGH TUESDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE
LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS
THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS
MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

IF THE TRACK OF ISAAC REMAINS WELL WEST OF THE AREA...THE HURRICANE
WARNINGS MAY BE REPLACED WITH TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

$$

MSZ078-079-281700-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
STONE-GEORGE-
1200 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF ISAAC SHIFTS MORE TOWARD THE EAST.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO MOBILE HOMES...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER
HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER
LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME
LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

$$

ALZ052-MSZ067-075-076-281700-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-
1200 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. POORLY
CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF
REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. ANY LOOSE
OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE.
A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST
NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

$$

GMZ630-650-655-670-675-281700-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1200 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS
POSSIBLE.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 30 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$




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