[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 271020
HLSTAE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
620 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012

...ISAAC HEADING TOWARDS CENTRAL GULF COAST...LOCAL IMPACTS
UPDATED...

.NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE
PANHANDLE COUNTIES.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF
THE PANHANDLE COUNTIES.

WIND...SURGE...AND RAINFALL IMPACTS UPDATED.


.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AS WELL AS THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY...COASTAL GULF...COASTAL FRANKLIN...
COASTAL JEFFERSON...COASTAL WAKULLA...COASTAL TAYLOR...AND
COASTAL DIXIE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO THE MOUTH OF
THE SUWANNEE RIVER.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...OR 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2N...LONGITUDE 84.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT
360 MILES SOUTH OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS WEST
NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC IS NOW MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO. ISAAC IS PREDICTED TO GAIN STRENGTH AND TURN MORE
NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY AND NEAR
THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST ON TUESDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AROUND...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ108-112-114-271700-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
620 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012 /520 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012/

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER
LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS INSIDE.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOUR
HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE ZONE OR
ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED SHELTER
OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR FRIENDS
OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
40 TO 50 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
WITH THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS LIKELY. HOWEVER...DUE
TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN PLACE. ANY EASTWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST
TRACK COULD LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE EXPECTED WINDS.
WITH THE CURRENT TRACK...MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 25 TO
35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...PRIMARILY MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A MODERATE AND NOTABLE IMPACT. THE
CONCERN IS FOR THE CHANCE OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR IN
AREAS WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL
STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE
BEGINNING LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ON TUESDAY MORNING...
HIGH TIDE IS BETWEEN 6 AM AND 8 AM CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME.

MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...WHICH WILL BE
ENHANCED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. SURF HEIGHTS ALONG THE
PANHANDLE BEACHES COULD BUILD AS HIGH AS 10 TO 14 FEET.

...INLAND FLOODING...
DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE LAST MONTH...THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS ELEVATED. DEPENDING ON THE FUTURE TRACK OF
ISAAC...8 TO 11 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY...AND A FLOOD OR FLASH
FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING ON MONDAY AFTERNOON
AS OUTER BANDS OF ISAAC NEAR THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. THE THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

FLZ115-118-127-128-134-271700-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-
COASTAL DIXIE-
620 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WHICH CAN CAUSE
OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
30 TO 40 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...PRIMARILY TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY.

RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY
PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED
PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH THE CORE OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC IS NOT CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AT
THIS TIME...THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR ELEVATED WATER LEVELS.

FOR COASTAL AREAS OF JEFFERSON...WAKULLA...AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES...COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS OF 3
TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

FOR COASTAL AREAS OF TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES...COMBINED STORM
SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING IN
WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THERE IS A MINOR TO MODERATE THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM
COASTAL FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A MODERATE IMPACT FOR
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE COAST. THE CONCERN IS FOR THE CHANCE OF
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN
LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION.

THE MOST LIKELY TIME OF COASTAL FLOODING WILL BEGIN LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. HIGH TIDE
ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST WILL OCCUR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT
TUESDAY FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER HIGH TIDE AROUND MIDDAY ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

...INLAND FLOODING...
DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE LAST MONTH...THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS ELEVATED. DEPENDING ON THE FUTURE TRACK OF
ISAAC...5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING ON MONDAY AFTERNOON
AS OUTER BANDS OF ISAAC NEAR THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

$$

GMZ750-770-271700-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
620 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN
TO PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE
TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN
FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO
THE LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 71 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. WINDS COULD BE MUCH HIGHER IF ISAAC MOVES FURTHER TO THE
EAST THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED. SEAS COULD BUILD TO IN EXCESS OF 20
FEET.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AS OUTER BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH ISAAC MOVE OVER THE MARINE AREA.

$$

GMZ730-755-765-775-271700-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
APALACHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
620 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 61 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 KNOTS. WINDS COULD BE MUCH HIGHER IF ISAAC MOVES FURTHER TO THE
EAST THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED. SEAS COULD BUILD TO IN EXCESS OF 15
FEET.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AS
OUTER BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ISAAC MOVE OVER THE MARINE AREA.

$$

FLZ007>010-012>015-026-271700-
/O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-
INLAND GULF-INLAND FRANKLIN-LIBERTY-
620 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012 /520 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012/

...SOME IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL STORM ISAAC STILL POSSIBLE...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EVERYONE IS STRONGLY URGED TO STAY INFORMED ABOUT THE TRACK OF
ISAAC. MONITOR THE ONGOING WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS. LISTEN CLOSELY TO THE ADVICE
OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN YOUR AREA.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
20 TO 30 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AT THIS TIME...THE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS IS
NOT LIKELY. HOWEVER...DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST
TRACK...ANY EASTWARD ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TRACK COULD LEAD TO
STRONGER WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
LATER TODAY AND INTO TUESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE LAST MONTH...THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS INCREASED. DEPENDING ON THE FUTURE TRACK OF
ISAAC...6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY.

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY AS
OUTER BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ISAAC MOVE OVER THE MARINE AREA.

$$

ALZ065>069-FLZ011-016>018-027-028-GAZ142-143-155>158-271700-
/O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-JACKSON-GADSDEN-LEON-
INLAND JEFFERSON-INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-EARLY-MILLER-
SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-
620 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012 /520 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012/

...SOME IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL STORM ISAAC STILL POSSIBLE...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EVERYONE IS STRONGLY URGED TO STAY INFORMED ABOUT THE TRACK OF
ISAAC. MONITOR THE ONGOING WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS. LISTEN CLOSELY TO THE ADVICE
OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN YOUR AREA.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
20 TO 30 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AT THIS TIME...THE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS IS
NOT LIKELY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO 25 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE LAST MONTH...THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS INCREASED. DEPENDING ON THE FUTURE TRACK OF
ISAAC...4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY.

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE PRIMARILY ON TUESDAY AS OUTER BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH ISAAC MOVE OVER THE MARINE AREA.

$$

CAMP



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