[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 260551
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ISAAC...LOCATED ABOUT 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF CANAGUA CUBA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAVE CHANGED
LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS LOW COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM
JOYCE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR THIS DISTURBANCE TO
REGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


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