[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Aug 25 17:33:25 CDT 2012


WTUS82 KMFL 252232
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING STARTING EARLY SUNDAY AS ISAAC
APPROACHES THE VICINITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA...

.NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION.
SURGE SECTION FOR SOUTHWEST COAST.
WIND SECTIONS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LOCAL GULF WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND
COASTAL MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND
BISCAYNE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND
COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH AND
COASTAL BROWARD.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3N...LONGITUDE 76.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 410 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES
FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 21 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO
DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE
RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK.

A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE MAINLY FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH A SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND EXTREME SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AT THIS TIME. SHOULD THAT POTENTIAL BE
REALIZED IT WOULD MATERIALIZE WITHIN 18 TO 30 HOURS FROM NOW.
THEREFORE...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF THOSE AREAS.

THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM
APPROACHES AND PASSES BY THE AREA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAINBANDS TRAIN REPEATEDLY
OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA. A FLOOD
WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL
OF SOUTH FLORIDA, REGARDLESS OF STORM INTENSITY. WHILE A TORNADO
IS POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME FROM TONIGHT THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.

SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...PEAK BY SUNDAY
NIGHT...THEN STEADILY SUBSIDE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ALONG THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. ALONG THE GULF COAST...SURF
WILL QUICKLY BUILD LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND PEAK BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL
RESULT IN LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR
BEACH EROSION ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC BEACHES.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD
COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL
BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE
OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS
AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 12 AM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ069-075-174-262245-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL
INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION.

IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AND COLLIER COUNTIES, CALL 311.

COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS, INCLUDING A SPECIAL
NEEDS SHELTER, AT 10 AM SUNDAY.

EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE
OF THE STORM.

THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED
COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACKCOUNTRY
RECREATIONAL ACCESS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO
10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 85 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
75 MPH. THERE STILL REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE
CONDITIONS.

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO
LOCALLY MODERATE WIND DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO
UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH
SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF
TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN,
AND UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 6
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN
COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE
VALUES ABOVE...HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND
OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR
SURGE ALONG GULF COAST WILL BE MONDAY...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGH
TIDE CYCLE AROUND SUNRISE.

AGGRESSIVE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MAJOR
COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT LARGE
AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH
EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR
LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING
STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES
BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS
RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS...WITH A
FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS.
MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...AND PIERS. MANY
SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED
ANCHORAGES...LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED.

$$

FLZ073-074-173-262245-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL
INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION.

IN MIAMI-DADE, CALL 311.

THE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY MAYOR HAS ISSUED AN EVACUATION ORDER FOR
RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS.

ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN MIAMI DADE COUNTY WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY.

THE PORT OF MIAMI WILL BE CLOSED AT 11 PM TONIGHT. BRIDGES IN
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAVE BEEN LOCKED DOWN. ALL PUBLIC MARINAS IN
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY ARE CLOSED.

EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE
OF THE STORM.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 80 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 MPH.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND
DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES, PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL
SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT-
WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED
ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS COULD
BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS...SUCH AS DOWNED TREES. THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN
AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH
MIAMI DADE.

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY
MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...
EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR
LOW-LYING AREAS. VERY HEAVY SURF ALONG WITH PERSISTENT ONSHORE
WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION.

$$

FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-262245-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO CALL ESTABLISHED LOCAL
INFORMATION NUMBERS FOR STORM-RELATED PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION.

IN PALM BEACH COUNTY, CALL 561-712-6400. IN COLLIER COUNTY AND
BROWARD COUNTIES, CALL 311. IN GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES, CALL
211.

PALM BEACH COUNTY WILL OPEN THREE GENERAL POPULATION SHELTERS AT
6 AM SUNDAY. ALL PALM BEACH COUNTY PARKS, LIBRARIES AND PUBLIC
TRANSIT WILL BE CLOSED.

ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS IN BROWARD, COLLIER, GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES
WILL BE CLOSED ON MONDAY.

PORT EVERGLADES AND THE PORT OF PALM BEACH WILL BE CLOSED AT 11 PM
TONIGHT.

COLLIER COUNTY WILL OPEN MULTIPLE SHELTERS, INCLUDING A SPECIAL
NEEDS SHELTER, AT 10 AM SUNDAY.

EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK IS CLOSED TO VISITORS UNTIL THE PASSAGE
OF THE STORM.

THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE HAS SUSPENDED ALL LICENSED
COMMERCIAL AND VISITOR SERVICES AND CLOSED BACKCOUNTRY
RECREATIONAL ACCESS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 77 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 MPH.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO MODERATE WIND DAMAGE.
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO PORCHES, CARPORTS, AND AWNINGS
ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING, LARGE BRANCHES
BROKEN OFF TREES WITH SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES
BLOWN DOWN, AND UNSECURED LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT
BECOMING DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE
DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE
DEBRIS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE REMAINS A
MINOR THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE BARRIER
ISLANDS OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY...THE
COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO LARGE SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION.

$$

GMZ656-657-676-262245-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
17 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 87 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY
TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 55 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
75 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT...PEAK MONDAY MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE
THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

AMZ630-651-671-262245-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 83 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 60 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...PEAK
SUNDAY EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

$$

AMZ650-670-262245-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 48 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 KNOTS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...PEAK
SUNDAY EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

$$

AMZ610-262245-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
632 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 53 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 50 KNOTS.

$$






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